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Radiomics-clinical nomogram for preoperative lymph node metastasis prediction in esophageal carcinoma.

作者信息

Geng Xiaotao, Zhang Yaping, Li Yang, Cai Yuanyuan, Liu Jie, Geng Tianxiang, Meng Xiangdi, Hao Furong

机构信息

Shandong University Cancer Center, Shandong University, 440 Jiyan Road, Jinan, 250117, China.

Department of Radiation Oncology, Weifang People's Hospital, 151 Guangwen Street, Weifang, 261000, China.

出版信息

Br J Radiol. 2024 Feb 28;97(1155):652-659. doi: 10.1093/bjr/tqae009.


DOI:10.1093/bjr/tqae009
PMID:38268475
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11027331/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES: This research aimed to develop a radiomics-clinical nomogram based on enhanced thin-section CT radiomics and clinical features for the purpose of predicting the presence or absence of metastasis in lymph nodes among patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). METHODS: This study examined the data of 256 patients with ESCC, including 140 cases with lymph node metastasis. Clinical information was gathered for each case, and radiomics features were derived from thin-section contrast-enhanced CT with the help of a 3D slicer. To validate risk factors that are independent of the clinical and radiomics models, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression analysis was used. A nomogram pattern was constructed based on the radiomics features and clinical characteristics. The receiver operating characteristic curve and Brier Score were used to evaluate the model's discriminatory ability, the calibration plot to evaluate the model's calibration, and the decision curve analysis to evaluate the model's clinical utility. The confusion matrix was used to evaluate the applicability of the model. To evaluate the efficacy of the model, 1000 rounds of 5-fold cross-validation were conducted. RESULTS: The clinical model identified esophageal wall thickness and clinical T (cT) stage as independent risk factors, whereas the radiomics pattern was built based on 4 radiomics features chosen at random. Area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.684 and 0.701 are observed for the radiomics approach and clinical model, respectively. The AUC of nomogram combining radiomics and clinical features was 0.711. The calibration plot showed good agreement between the incidence of lymph node metastasis predicted by the nomogram and the actual probability of occurrence. The nomogram model displayed acceptable levels of performance. After 1000 rounds of 5-fold cross-validation, the AUC and Brier score had median values of 0.702 (IQR: 0.65, 7.49) and 0.21 (IQR: 0.20, 0.23), respectively. High-risk patients (risk point >110) were found to have an increased risk of lymph node metastasis [odds ratio (OR) = 5.15, 95% CI, 2.95-8.99] based on the risk categorization. CONCLUSION: A successful preoperative prediction performance for metastasis to the lymph nodes among patients with ESCC was demonstrated by the nomogram that incorporated CT radiomics, wall thickness, and cT stage. ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE: This study demonstrates a novel radiomics-clinical nomogram for lymph node metastasis prediction in ESCC, which helps physicians determine lymph node status preoperatively.

摘要

相似文献

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引用本文的文献

[1]
CT-radiomics combined with inflammatory indicators for prediction of progression free survival of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Sci Rep. 2025-5-10

[2]
A preoperative pathological staging prediction model for esophageal cancer based on CT radiomics.

BMC Cancer. 2025-2-19

[3]
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BMC Med Imaging. 2025-1-18

[4]
Value of Computed Tomography Scan for Detecting Lymph Node Metastasis in Early Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Ann Surg Oncol. 2025-3

[5]
A novel endoscopic ultrasomics-based machine learning model and nomogram to predict the pathological grading of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors.

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[6]
Enhancing prognostic prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma post-TACE: a machine learning approach integrating radiomics and clinical features.

Front Med (Lausanne). 2024-7-17

[7]
Endoscopic ultrasonography-based intratumoral and peritumoral machine learning radiomics analyses for distinguishing insulinomas from non-functional pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors.

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Predicting meningioma grades and pathologic marker expression via deep learning.

Eur Radiol. 2024-5

[2]
Stacking Ensemble Learning-Based [F]FDG PET Radiomics for Outcome Prediction in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma.

J Nucl Med. 2023-10

[3]
Performance of radiomics-based artificial intelligence systems in the diagnosis and prediction of treatment response and survival in esophageal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy.

Dis Esophagus. 2023-5-27

[4]
Comparisons of minimally invasive esophagectomy and open esophagectomy in lymph node metastasis/dissection for thoracic esophageal cancer.

Chin Med J (Engl). 2022-10-20

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Radiomics models based on CT at different phases predicting lymph node metastasis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (GASTO-1089).

Front Oncol. 2022-10-26

[6]
Radiomics: A review of current applications and possibilities in the assessment of tumor microenvironment.

Diagn Interv Imaging. 2023-3

[7]
Development of a nomogram for predicting grade 2 or higher acute hematologic toxicity of cervical cancer after the pelvic bone marrow sparing radiotherapy.

Front Public Health. 2022

[8]
Esophageal cancer in China: Practice and research in the new era.

Int J Cancer. 2023-5-1

[9]
Radiomic Signatures Associated with CD8 Tumour-Infiltrating Lymphocytes: A Systematic Review and Quality Assessment Study.

Cancers (Basel). 2022-7-27

[10]
Blood biomarkers as predictors of pathological lymph node metastasis in clinical stage T1N0 esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Dis Esophagus. 2022-12-31

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