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21 世纪全球胆石症流行病学:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Global Epidemiology of Gallstones in the 21st Century: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, West China School of Public Health, West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Wuhou District, Chengdu, China; West China-PUMC C.C. Chen Institute of Health, West China School of Public Health, West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Wuhou District, Chengdu, China.

Department of Public Health, Jining Medical University, Jining, China.

出版信息

Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2024 Aug;22(8):1586-1595. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2024.01.051. Epub 2024 Feb 19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Gallstones are common and associated with substantial health and economic burden. We aimed to comprehensively evaluate the prevalence and incidence of gallstones in the 21st century.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed and Embase to identify studies reporting the prevalence and/or incidence of gallstones between January 1, 2000, and November 18, 2023. Pooled prevalence and incidence were calculated using DerSimonian and Laird's random-effects model. We performed subgroup analyses and meta-regression based on age, sex, geographic location, population setting, and modality of detection to examine sources of heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Based on 115 studies with 32,610,568 participants, the pooled prevalence of gallstones was 6.1% (95% CI, 5.6-6.5). Prevalence was higher in females vs males (7.6% vs 5.4%), in South America vs Asia (11.2% vs 5.1%), in upper-middle-income countries vs high-income countries (8.9% vs 4.0%), and with advancing age. On sensitivity analysis of population-based studies, the prevalence of gallstones was 5.5% (95% CI, 4.1-7.4; n = 44 studies), and when limiting subgroup analysis to imaging-based detection modalities, the prevalence was 6.7% (95% CI, 6.1-7.3; n = 101 studies). Prevalence has been stable over the past 20 years. Based on 12 studies, the incidence of gallstones was 0.47 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.37-0.51), without differences between males and females, and with increasing incidence in more recent studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Globally, 6% of the population have gallstones, with higher rates in females and in South America. The incidence of gallstones may be increasing. Our findings call for prioritizing research on the prevention of gallstones.

摘要

背景与目的

胆石症较为常见,会对健康和经济造成较大负担。本研究旨在全面评估 21 世纪胆石症的流行率和发病率。

方法

我们系统检索了 PubMed 和 Embase 数据库,以确定 2000 年 1 月 1 日至 2023 年 11 月 18 日期间发表的报告胆石症流行率和(或)发病率的研究。采用 DerSimonian 和 Laird 的随机效应模型计算汇总流行率和发病率。我们基于年龄、性别、地理位置、人群设置和检测方式进行了亚组分析和荟萃回归,以检查异质性的来源。

结果

基于 115 项研究(涉及 32610568 名参与者),胆石症的汇总流行率为 6.1%(95%CI,5.6-6.5)。女性的流行率高于男性(7.6% vs 5.4%),南美洲的流行率高于亚洲(11.2% vs 5.1%),中高收入国家的流行率高于高收入国家(8.9% vs 4.0%),且随年龄增长而升高。基于人群研究的敏感性分析,胆石症的流行率为 5.5%(95%CI,4.1-7.4;n=44 项研究),当将亚组分析仅限于影像学检测方式时,流行率为 6.7%(95%CI,6.1-7.3;n=101 项研究)。过去 20 年来,胆石症的流行率一直保持稳定。基于 12 项研究,胆石症的发病率为 0.47/100 人年(95%CI,0.37-0.51),男性和女性之间无差异,且最近的研究显示发病率呈上升趋势。

结论

全球有 6%的人群患有胆石症,女性和南美洲的发病率更高。胆石症的发病率可能在上升。本研究结果呼吁优先开展胆石症预防的研究。

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