Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.
Department of Economics, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Nature. 2024 Feb;626(8001):1034-1041. doi: 10.1038/s41586-024-07077-w. Epub 2024 Feb 21.
Repeated interactions provide an evolutionary explanation for one-shot human cooperation that is counterintuitive but orthodox. Intergroup competition provides an explanation that is intuitive but heterodox. Here, using models and a behavioural experiment, we show that neither mechanism reliably supports cooperation. Ambiguous reciprocity, a class of strategies that is generally ignored in models of reciprocal altruism, undermines cooperation under repeated interactions. This finding challenges repeated interactions as an evolutionary explanation for cooperation in general, which further challenges the claim that repeated interactions in the past can explain one-shot cooperation in the present. Intergroup competitions also do not reliably support cooperation because groups quickly become extremely similar, which limits scope for group selection. Moreover, even if groups vary, group competitions may generate little group selection for multiple reasons. Cooperative groups, for example, may tend to compete against each other. Whereas repeated interactions and group competitions do not support cooperation by themselves, combining them triggers powerful synergies because group competitions constrain the corrosive effect of ambiguous reciprocity. Evolved strategies often consist of cooperative reciprocity with ingroup partners and uncooperative reciprocity with outgroup partners. Results from a behavioural experiment in Papua New Guinea fit exactly this pattern. They thus suggest neither an evolutionary history of repeated interactions without group competition nor a history of group competition without repeated interactions. Instead, our results suggest social motives that evolved under the joint influence of both mechanisms.
重复互动为一次性人类合作提供了一个具有反直觉但正统的进化解释。而群体间竞争则提供了一个直观但异端的解释。在这里,我们使用模型和行为实验表明,这两种机制都不能可靠地支持合作。模糊互惠,一类在互惠利他主义模型中通常被忽视的策略,破坏了重复互动下的合作。这一发现挑战了重复互动作为合作的一般进化解释,进一步挑战了过去的重复互动可以解释当前一次性合作的说法。群体间竞争也不能可靠地支持合作,因为群体很快变得非常相似,这限制了群体选择的范围。此外,即使群体发生变化,出于多种原因,群体竞争也可能产生很少的群体选择。例如,合作群体可能倾向于相互竞争。虽然重复互动和群体竞争本身不能支持合作,但将它们结合起来会产生强大的协同作用,因为群体竞争限制了模糊互惠的腐蚀性影响。进化而来的策略通常包括与内群体伙伴的合作互惠和与外群体伙伴的不合作互惠。新几内亚巴布亚的一项行为实验结果完全符合这一模式。因此,它们既不支持没有群体竞争的重复互动的进化历史,也不支持没有重复互动的群体竞争的进化历史。相反,我们的结果表明,社会动机是在这两种机制的共同影响下进化而来的。