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老年患者经皮冠状动脉介入治疗后主要心脑血管不良事件的预测因素:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Predictors of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events after percutaneous coronary intervention in older adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Tehran Heart Center, Cardiovascular Diseases Research Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, North Kargar Ave, 1411713138, Tehran, Iran.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

BMC Geriatr. 2024 Apr 12;24(1):337. doi: 10.1186/s12877-024-04896-4.

Abstract

AIM

We systematically reviewed and meta-analyzed the predictors of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACE/MACCE) in older adults who underwent PCI.

METHODS

Three databases, PubMed, Embase, and Scopus, were searched for observational studies considering the out-of-hospital MACE/MACCE in adults ≥ 60 years old with coronary artery disease (acute or chronic) who underwent PCI. Studies were eligible if they had determined at least two statistically significant predictors of MACE/MACCE by multivariable analysis. We used the QUIPS tool to evaluate the risk of bias in the studies. Random-effects meta-analysis was utilized to pool the hazard ratios (HRs) of the most reported predictors.

RESULTS

A total of 34 studies were included in the review. Older age (HR = 1.04, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.03-1.06, P-value < 0.001), diabetes (HR = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.22-1.53, P < 0.001), history of myocardial infarction (MI) (HR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.37-2.57, P < 0.001), ST-elevation MI (STEMI) at presentation (HR = 1.72, 95% CI: 1.37-2.18, P < 0.001), reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (HR = 2.01, 95% CI: 1.52-2.65, P < 0.001), successful PCI (HR = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.27-0.47, P < 0.001), eGFR (HR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.97-1.00; P-value = 0.04) and left main coronary artery (LMCA) disease (HR = 2.07, 95% CI: 1.52-2.84, P < 0.001) were identified as predictors of MACE.

CONCLUSION

We identified older age, diabetes, history of MI, STEMI presentation, lower LVEF, and LMCA disease increased the risk of MACE/MACCE after PCI in older adults. Meanwhile, higher eGFR and successful PCI predicted lower adverse events risk. Future studies should focus on a more robust methodology and a precise definition of MACE.

REGISTRATION

PROSPERO (CRD42023480332).

摘要

目的

我们系统地回顾和荟萃分析了接受 PCI 的老年患者主要不良心脑血管事件(MACE/MACCE)的预测因素。

方法

检索了 PubMed、Embase 和 Scopus 三个数据库,纳入了考虑到院外 MACE/MACCE 的成年人≥60 岁的冠心病(急性或慢性)患者接受 PCI 的观察性研究。如果多变量分析确定了至少两个有统计学意义的 MACE/MACCE 预测因素,研究即符合纳入标准。我们使用 QUIPS 工具评估了研究的偏倚风险。采用随机效应荟萃分析来汇总最常报告的预测因素的风险比(HR)。

结果

共纳入 34 项研究。年龄较大(HR=1.04,95%置信区间(CI):1.03-1.06,P 值<0.001)、糖尿病(HR=1.36,95%CI:1.22-1.53,P<0.001)、心肌梗死史(HR=1.88,95%CI:1.37-2.57,P<0.001)、就诊时 ST 段抬高心肌梗死(STEMI)(HR=1.72,95%CI:1.37-2.18,P<0.001)、左心室射血分数(LVEF)降低(HR=2.01,95%CI:1.52-2.65,P<0.001)、成功 PCI(HR=0.35,95%CI:0.27-0.47,P<0.001)、估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)(HR=0.99,95%CI:0.97-1.00;P 值=0.04)和左主干冠状动脉(LMCA)疾病(HR=2.07,95%CI:1.52-2.84,P<0.001)被确定为 MACE 的预测因素。

结论

我们发现,年龄较大、糖尿病、心肌梗死史、STEMI 发作、较低的 LVEF 和 LMCA 疾病增加了老年患者 PCI 后发生 MACE/MACCE 的风险。同时,较高的 eGFR 和成功的 PCI 预测了较低的不良事件风险。未来的研究应侧重于更稳健的方法和 MACE 的精确定义。

登记

PROSPERO(CRD42023480332)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7417/11015672/eb542c4dca1f/12877_2024_4896_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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