Del Tatto Vittorio, Fortunato Gianfranco, Bueti Domenica, Laio Alessandro
Physics Section, Scuola Internazionale Superiore di Studi Avanzati, Trieste 34136, Italy.
Condensed Matter and Statistical Physics Section, International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste 34151, Italy.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 May 7;121(19):e2317256121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2317256121. Epub 2024 Apr 30.
We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a statistical test capable of inferring the relative information content of different distance measures. We test whether the predictability of a putative driven system Y can be improved by incorporating information from a potential driver system X, without explicitly modeling the underlying dynamics and without the need to compute probability densities of the dynamic variables. This framework makes causality detection possible even between high-dimensional systems where only few of the variables are known or measured. Benchmark tests on coupled chaotic dynamical systems demonstrate that our approach outperforms other model-free causality detection methods, successfully handling both unidirectional and bidirectional couplings. We also show that the method can be used to robustly detect causality in human electroencephalography data.
我们介绍了一种方法,该方法能够检测那些具有时间演化数据的变量之间的因果关系。因果关系是通过一种基于距离秩的信息不平衡的变分方案来评估的,这是一种能够推断不同距离度量的相对信息含量的统计检验。我们测试是否可以通过纳入来自潜在驱动系统X的信息来提高假定的受驱动系统Y的可预测性,而无需对潜在动力学进行显式建模,也无需计算动态变量的概率密度。即使在仅知道或测量少数变量的高维系统之间,该框架也能实现因果关系检测。对耦合混沌动力学系统的基准测试表明,我们的方法优于其他无模型因果关系检测方法,能够成功处理单向和双向耦合。我们还表明,该方法可用于可靠地检测人类脑电图数据中的因果关系。