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全球与共享社会经济路径一致的屋顶面积高分辨率增长预测数据集,2020-2050 年。

Global high-resolution growth projections dataset for rooftop area consistent with the shared socioeconomic pathways, 2020-2050.

机构信息

SFI MaREI Centre for Energy Climate and Marine, Cork, Ireland.

Environmental Research Institute, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland.

出版信息

Sci Data. 2024 May 30;11(1):563. doi: 10.1038/s41597-024-03378-x.

Abstract

Assessment of current and future growth in the global rooftop area is important for understanding and planning for a robust and sustainable decentralised energy system. These estimates are also important for urban planning studies and designing sustainable cities thereby forwarding the ethos of the Sustainable Development Goals 7 (clean energy), 11 (sustainable cities), 13 (climate action) and 15 (life on land). Here, we develop a machine learning framework that trains on big data containing ~700 million open-source building footprints, global land cover, road, and population datasets to generate globally harmonised estimates of growth in rooftop area for five different future growth narratives covered by Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. The dataset provides estimates for ~3.5 million fishnet tiles of 1/8 degree spatial resolution with data on gross rooftop area for five growth narratives covering years 2020-2050 in decadal time steps. This single harmonised global dataset can be used for climate change, energy transition, biodiversity, urban planning, and disaster risk management studies covering continental to conurbation geospatial levels.

摘要

评估全球屋顶面积的当前和未来增长对于理解和规划强大且可持续的分散式能源系统非常重要。这些估计对于城市规划研究和设计可持续城市也很重要,从而推进可持续发展目标 7(清洁能源)、11(可持续城市)、13(气候行动)和 15(陆地生命)的理念。在这里,我们开发了一个机器学习框架,该框架可以在包含约 7 亿个开源建筑足迹、全球土地覆盖、道路和人口数据集的大数据上进行训练,以生成涵盖共享社会经济途径中五个不同未来增长情景的屋顶面积增长的全球协调估计。该数据集提供了约 350 万个 1/8 度空间分辨率的鱼网瓦片的估计值,这些数据涵盖了五个增长情景的总屋顶面积,时间跨度为 2020 年至 2050 年,每十年一个时间步长。这个单一的全球协调数据集可用于气候变化、能源转型、生物多样性、城市规划和灾害风险管理研究,涵盖从大陆到城市群的地理空间层面。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/981b/11139859/3e2df7e86767/41597_2024_3378_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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