Guzzo Karen Benjamin, Hayford Sarah R
Department of Sociology, 155 Hamilton Hall, CB #3210, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3210.
Department of Sociology, Townshend Hall 205, 1885 Neil Ave., The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210.
J Marriage Fam. 2024 Apr;86(2):513-525. doi: 10.1111/jomf.12953. Epub 2023 Nov 11.
This research note describes the relationship between young adults' educational experiences and childbearing goals in the U.S.
In the U.S., education is associated with later childbearing and fewer children, but the relationship between education and fertility desires and intentions is less well-understood. This article contributes to the research literature by illustrating variation in prospective fertility goals by education, focusing on the early life course in order to understand young adults' goals before they have been shaped by parenting and extensive workforce experiences.
This analysis uses data from the National Surveys of Family Growth (1995-2019), a nationally representative survey, to study fertility desires and intentions among childless U.S. men and women ages 19-24. Predicted probabilities demonstrating differences in fertility goals by educational experiences, from three sets of multivariable analyses (logistic regression predicting fertility desires and intentions, separately, and negative binomial regression predicting intended parity), are shown.
Men and women with a bachelor's degree and those enrolled in college do not have lower fertility goals than those without a degree and not enrolled; if anything, more educated individuals are slightly more likely to desire (for men only) and intend children and to have slightly larger intended family size.
Education gaps in fertility in the United States are not attributable to differences in early-life fertility goals.
本研究报告描述了美国年轻人的教育经历与生育目标之间的关系。
在美国,教育与生育时间推迟和子女数量减少有关,但教育与生育意愿和意图之间的关系尚不太为人所理解。本文通过说明按教育程度划分的预期生育目标差异,为研究文献做出了贡献,重点关注生命早期阶段,以便了解年轻人在受到为人父母和丰富的工作经历影响之前的目标。
本分析使用来自全国家庭成长调查(1995 - 2019年)的数据,这是一项具有全国代表性的调查,以研究19至24岁未育美国男性和女性的生育意愿和意图。展示了通过三组多变量分析(分别预测生育意愿和意图的逻辑回归,以及预测预期子女数的负二项回归)得出的按教育经历划分的生育目标差异的预测概率。
拥有学士学位的男性和女性以及在读大学生的生育目标并不低于没有学位且未在读的人;如果说有什么不同的话,受教育程度更高的人(仅针对男性)更有可能渴望生育子女、打算生育子女,并且预期家庭规模略大。
美国生育方面的教育差距并非源于早期生育目标的差异。