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芬兰男性的教育、一生中的其他社会经济特征与生育情况

Education, Other Socioeconomic Characteristics Across the Life Course, and Fertility Among Finnish Men.

作者信息

Nisén Jessica, Martikainen Pekka, Myrskylä Mikko, Silventoinen Karri

机构信息

1Population Research Unit, Department of Social Research, University of Helsinki, P.O. Box 18 (Unioninkatu 35), 00014 Helsinki, Finland.

2Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse-Straße 1, 18057 Rostock, Germany.

出版信息

Eur J Popul. 2018;34(3):337-366. doi: 10.1007/s10680-017-9430-8. Epub 2017 Jul 27.

Abstract

The level of education and other adult socioeconomic characteristics of men are known to associate with their fertility, but early-life socioeconomic characteristics may also be related. We studied how men's adult and early-life socioeconomic characteristics are associated with their eventual fertility and whether the differences therein by educational level are explained or mediated by other socioeconomic characteristics. The data on men born in 1940-1950 ( = 37,082) were derived from the 1950 Finnish census, which is linked to later registers. Standard and sibling fixed-effects Poisson and logistic regression models were used. Education and other characteristics were positively associated with the number of children, largely stemming from a higher likelihood of a first birth among the more socioeconomically advantaged men. The educational gradient in the number of children was not explained by early socioeconomic or other characteristics shared by brothers, but occupational position and income in adulthood mediated approximately half of the association. Parity-specific differences existed: education and many other socioeconomic characteristics predicted the likelihood of a first birth more strongly than that of a second birth, and the mediating role of occupational position and income was also strongest for first births. Relatively small differences were found in the likelihood of a third birth. In men, education is positively associated with eventual fertility after controlling for early socioeconomic and other characteristics shared by brothers. Selective entry into fatherhood based on economic provider potential may contribute considerably to educational differentials in the number of children among men.

摘要

已知男性的教育水平和其他成人社会经济特征与他们的生育能力相关,但早年的社会经济特征可能也有关系。我们研究了男性的成人和早年社会经济特征如何与他们最终的生育能力相关联,以及其中教育水平的差异是否由其他社会经济特征来解释或介导。1940年至1950年出生的男性((n = 37,082))的数据来自1950年芬兰人口普查,并与后来的登记册相链接。使用了标准和兄弟姐妹固定效应泊松回归模型和逻辑回归模型。教育和其他特征与子女数量呈正相关,这在很大程度上源于社会经济条件更优越的男性首次生育的可能性更高。子女数量的教育梯度并不能由兄弟之间共有的早期社会经济或其他特征来解释,但成年后的职业地位和收入介导了大约一半的关联。存在特定胎次的差异:教育和许多其他社会经济特征对首次生育可能性的预测比对第二次生育可能性的预测更强,职业地位和收入的介导作用在首次生育时也最为明显。在第三次生育的可能性方面发现的差异相对较小。在控制了兄弟之间共有的早期社会经济和其他特征后,男性的教育与最终生育能力呈正相关。基于经济供养潜力的选择性成为父亲可能在很大程度上导致男性在子女数量上的教育差异。

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