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运用基于神经网络元模型的模拟多目标优化管理急诊科低危患者。

Managing low-acuity patients in an Emergency Department through simulation-based multiobjective optimization using a neural network metamodel.

机构信息

Institute for System Analysis and Computer Science "A. Ruberti", National Research Council of Italy, via dei Taurini, 19, Rome, 00185, Italy.

Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Lehigh University, 200 W Packer Ave, Bethlehem, PA, 18015, USA.

出版信息

Health Care Manag Sci. 2024 Sep;27(3):415-435. doi: 10.1007/s10729-024-09678-3. Epub 2024 Jun 10.

DOI:10.1007/s10729-024-09678-3
PMID:38856785
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11461778/
Abstract

This paper deals with Emergency Department (ED) fast-tracks for low-acuity patients, a strategy often adopted to reduce ED overcrowding. We focus on optimizing resource allocation in minor injuries units, which are the ED units that can treat low-acuity patients, with the aim of minimizing patient waiting times and ED operating costs. We formulate this problem as a general multiobjective simulation-based optimization problem where some of the objectives are expensive black-box functions that can only be evaluated through a time-consuming simulation. To efficiently solve this problem, we propose a metamodeling approach that uses an artificial neural network to replace a black-box objective function with a suitable model. This approach allows us to obtain a set of Pareto optimal points for the multiobjective problem we consider, from which decision-makers can select the most appropriate solutions for different situations. We present the results of computational experiments conducted on a real case study involving the ED of a large hospital in Italy. The results show the reliability and effectiveness of our proposed approach, compared to the standard approach based on derivative-free optimization.

摘要

本文讨论了针对低危患者的急诊(ED)快速通道,这是一种常用于减少 ED 拥堵的策略。我们专注于优化轻伤单位的资源分配,轻伤单位是可以治疗低危患者的 ED 单位,目标是最小化患者等待时间和 ED 运营成本。我们将这个问题表述为一个通用的多目标基于模拟的优化问题,其中一些目标是昂贵的黑盒函数,只能通过耗时的模拟进行评估。为了有效地解决这个问题,我们提出了一种基于元模型的方法,该方法使用人工神经网络来用合适的模型替代黑盒目标函数。这种方法使我们能够获得所考虑的多目标问题的一组 Pareto 最优解,决策者可以从中为不同情况选择最合适的解决方案。我们在意大利一家大医院的 ED 实际案例研究上进行了计算实验,结果表明,与基于无导数优化的标准方法相比,我们提出的方法是可靠和有效的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/00ae/11461778/13a8b6b86b24/10729_2024_9678_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/00ae/11461778/3e385d2c4d38/10729_2024_9678_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/00ae/11461778/8687d7dfd049/10729_2024_9678_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/00ae/11461778/13a8b6b86b24/10729_2024_9678_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/00ae/11461778/3e385d2c4d38/10729_2024_9678_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/00ae/11461778/8687d7dfd049/10729_2024_9678_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/00ae/11461778/13a8b6b86b24/10729_2024_9678_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Healthcare (Basel). 2022 Aug 25;10(9):1625. doi: 10.3390/healthcare10091625.
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Emergency department crowding: A systematic review of causes, consequences and solutions.急诊科拥挤:原因、后果和解决方案的系统评价。
PLoS One. 2018 Aug 30;13(8):e0203316. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0203316. eCollection 2018.
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Chaotic genetic algorithm and Adaboost ensemble metamodeling approach for optimum resource planning in emergency departments.
混沌遗传算法和 Adaboost 集成元模型方法在急诊部门的最优资源规划中的应用。
Artif Intell Med. 2018 Jan;84:23-33. doi: 10.1016/j.artmed.2017.10.002. Epub 2017 Oct 18.
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Overcrowding in emergency departments: A review of strategies to decrease future challenges.急诊科过度拥挤:减少未来挑战的策略综述
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Comparison of emergency department crowding scores: a discrete-event simulation approach.比较急诊科拥挤评分:一种离散事件模拟方法。
Health Care Manag Sci. 2018 Mar;21(1):144-155. doi: 10.1007/s10729-016-9385-z. Epub 2016 Oct 4.
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Stochastic resource allocation in emergency departments with a multi-objective simulation optimization algorithm.基于多目标模拟优化算法的急诊科随机资源分配
Health Care Manag Sci. 2017 Mar;20(1):55-75. doi: 10.1007/s10729-015-9335-1. Epub 2015 Aug 5.
7
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Emerg Med Int. 2015;2015:401757. doi: 10.1155/2015/401757. Epub 2015 Jun 8.
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A Daytime Fast Track Improves Throughput in a Single Physician Coverage Emergency Department.日间快速通道可提高单人值班急诊科的诊疗效率。
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