Genomic predictions of genetic variances and correlations among traits for breeding crosses in soybean.

Parental selection is perhaps the most critical decision a breeder makes, establishing the foundation of the entire program for years to come. Cross selection based on predicted mean and genetic variance can be further expanded to multiple-trait improvement by predicting the genetic correlation ( ) between pairs of traits. Our objective was to empirically assess the ability to predict the family mean, genetic variance, superior progeny mean and genetic correlation through genomic prediction in a soybean population. Data made available through the Soybean Nested Association Mapping project included phenotypic data on seven traits (days to maturity, lodging, oil, plant height, protein, seed size, and seed yield) for 39 families. Training population composition followed a leave-one-family-out cross-validation scheme, with the validation family genetic parameters predicted using the remaining families as the training set. The predictive abilities for family mean and superior progeny mean were significant for all traits while predictive ability of genetic variance was significant for four traits. We were able to validate significant predictive abilities of for 18 out of 21 (86%) pairwise trait combinations (P < 0.05). The findings from this study support the use of genome-wide marker effects for predicting in soybean biparental crosses. If successfully implemented in breeding programs, this methodology could help to increase the rate of genetic gain for multiple correlated traits.