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机器学习模型预测创伤性脑损伤后意识障碍的Meta分析。

A Meta-analysis of Predicting Disorders of Consciousness After Traumatic Brain Injury by Machine Learning Models.

作者信息

Zhu Xi, Gao Li, Luo Jun

机构信息

Department of Neurology, The Third People's Hospital of Chengdu & The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

Department of Neurology, Dujiangyan Medical Center, Chengdu, China.

出版信息

Alpha Psychiatry. 2024 Jun 1;25(3):290-303. doi: 10.5152/alphapsychiatry.2024.231443. eCollection 2024 Jun.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study pursued a meta-analysis to evaluate the predictive accuracy of machine learning (ML) models in determining disorders of consciousness (DOC) among patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI).

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted to identify ML applications in the establishment of a predictive model of DOC after TBI as of August 6, 2023. Two independent reviewers assessed publication eligibility based on predefined criteria. The predictive accuracy was measured using areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs). Subsequently, a random-effects model was employed to estimate the overall effect size, and statistical heterogeneity was determined based on statistic. Additionally, funnel plot asymmetry was employed to examine publication bias. Finally, subgroup analyses were performed based on age, ML type, and relevant clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Final analyses incorporated a total of 46 studies. Both the overall and subgroup analyses exhibited considerable statistical heterogeneity. Machine learning predictions for DOC in TBI yielded an overall pooled AUC of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.82-0.84). Subgroup analysis based on age revealed that the ML model in pediatric patients yielded an overall combined AUC of 0.88 (95% CI: 0.80-0.95); among the model subgroups, logistic regression was the most frequently employed, with an overall pooled AUC of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.83-0.87). In the clinical outcome subgroup analysis, the overall pooled AUC for distinguishing between consciousness recovery and consciousness disorders was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.82-0.85).

CONCLUSION

The findings of this meta-analysis demonstrated outstanding accuracy of ML models in predicting DOC among patients with brain injuries, which presented substantial research value and potential of ML application in this domain.

摘要

目的

本研究进行一项荟萃分析,以评估机器学习(ML)模型在判定创伤性脑损伤(TBI)患者意识障碍(DOC)方面的预测准确性。

方法

进行全面的文献检索,以确定截至2023年8月6日ML在TBI后DOC预测模型建立中的应用。两名独立评审员根据预定义标准评估出版物的合格性。使用受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)来衡量预测准确性。随后,采用随机效应模型估计总体效应大小,并基于统计量确定统计异质性。此外,使用漏斗图不对称性来检验发表偏倚。最后,根据年龄、ML类型和相关临床结局进行亚组分析。

结果

最终分析纳入了总共46项研究。总体分析和亚组分析均显示出相当大的统计异质性。TBI中DOC的机器学习预测总体合并AUC为0.83(95%CI:0.82 - 0.84)。基于年龄的亚组分析显示,儿科患者的ML模型总体合并AUC为0.88(95%CI:0.80 - 0.95);在模型亚组中,逻辑回归是最常用的,总体合并AUC为0.85(95%CI:0.83 - 0.87)。在临床结局亚组分析中,区分意识恢复和意识障碍的总体合并AUC为0.84(95%CI:0.82 - 0.85)。

结论

本荟萃分析的结果表明,ML模型在预测脑损伤患者的DOC方面具有出色的准确性,这在该领域展现出了ML应用的重大研究价值和潜力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7327/11322726/0249e64dcead/ap-25-3-290_f001.jpg

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