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印度尼西亚家畜布鲁氏菌病流行情况的荟萃分析。

A meta-analysis of livestock brucellosis prevalence in Indonesia.

机构信息

Department of Bioresources Technology and Veterinary, Vocational College, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia.

Department of Veterinary Public Health, Veterinary Medicine Faculty, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia.

出版信息

Vet Q. 2024 Dec;44(1):1-14. doi: 10.1080/01652176.2024.2390945. Epub 2024 Aug 20.

Abstract

Indonesia has a long history of livestock brucellosis, but the overall pooled prevalence remains unclear. This study aims to determine the pooled estimated prevalence of livestock brucellosis in Indonesia using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. Five databases were searched and screened using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data from included studies were extracted and analyzed using a random effects model in R 4.3.0 for pooled estimated prevalence, subgroup meta-analysis, and meta-regression. Publication bias and sensitivity tests were conducted using Egger's test, funnel plot, trim and fill plot, and leave-one-out. The screening process identified 46 included studies, representing 47,057 samples for brucellosis testing. The pooled estimated prevalence for livestock brucellosis was 3.25% (95% CI, 1.81%-5.78%) with high heterogeneity ( = 2130.91,  = 0, =98%). Subgroup meta-analysis indicated no significant difference in the prevalence of livestock brucellosis across the main islands in Indonesia ( = 0.44) and across provinces in Sulawesi Island ( = 0.83), but significant differences were found among provinces in Java ( < 0.01). The subgroup meta-analysis based on animal type showed no significant difference between cattle, small ruminants, and pig brucellosis estimated prevalence ( = 0.26). Between serological tests, no significant difference was found ( = 0.77). Meta-regression showed no significant difference in brucellosis prevalence from 1988-2023. Egger's test and funnel plot showed publication bias. Trim and fill test indicated 21 studies should be added. As most studies were conducted in Java and Sulawesi Islands, caution should be exercised in interpreting the results, emphasizing the necessity of increasing the study of brucellosis in other regions.

摘要

印度尼西亚家畜布鲁氏菌病历史悠久,但总体流行率仍不清楚。本研究旨在根据系统评价和荟萃分析的首选报告项目(PRISMA)指南,确定印度尼西亚家畜布鲁氏菌病的汇总估计流行率。使用预先设定的纳入和排除标准,对五个数据库进行了搜索和筛选。使用 R 4.3.0 中的随机效应模型提取和分析纳入研究的数据,以进行汇总估计流行率、亚组荟萃分析和荟萃回归。使用 Egger 检验、漏斗图、修剪和填充图以及逐一剔除法进行发表偏倚和敏感性测试。筛选过程确定了 46 项纳入研究,代表了 47057 份布鲁氏菌病检测样本。家畜布鲁氏菌病的汇总估计流行率为 3.25%(95%置信区间,1.81%-5.78%),存在高度异质性( = 2130.91, = 0, =98%)。亚组荟萃分析表明,印度尼西亚主要岛屿和苏拉威西岛各省之间的家畜布鲁氏菌病流行率没有显著差异( = 0.44),但爪哇岛各省之间存在显著差异( < 0.01)。基于动物类型的亚组荟萃分析显示,牛、小反刍动物和猪布鲁氏菌病的估计流行率之间没有显著差异( = 0.26)。在血清学检测之间,未发现显著差异( = 0.77)。荟萃回归显示,1988-2023 年布鲁氏菌病流行率无显著差异。Egger 检验和漏斗图显示存在发表偏倚。修剪和填充测试表明,应添加 21 项研究。由于大多数研究在爪哇和苏拉威西岛进行,因此在解释结果时应谨慎,强调有必要增加其他地区的布鲁氏菌病研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b56f/11338204/1c31ef7e4917/TVEQ_A_2390945_F0001_C.jpg

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