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印度尼西亚西万隆地区奶牛个体层面布鲁氏菌病的血清流行率、危险因素及布鲁氏菌病模型

Seroprevalence and risk factors of brucellosis and the brucellosis model at the individual level of dairy cattle in the West Bandung District, Indonesia.

作者信息

Yanti Yuli, Sumiarto Bambang, Kusumastuti Tri Anggraeni, Panus Aprizal, Sodirun Sodirun

机构信息

Graduate Student of Veterinary Science, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta 55281, Indonesia.

Epidemiology Laboratory, Disease Investigation Center of Subang, Subang, Indonesia.

出版信息

Vet World. 2021 Jan;14(1):1-10. doi: 10.14202/vetworld.2021.1-10. Epub 2021 Jan 5.

DOI:10.14202/vetworld.2021.1-10
PMID:33642780
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7896884/
Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Brucellosis is a zoonotic bacterial infectious disease. West Bandung is a center for dairy farming in West Java Province District and endemic for brucellosis. The aim of the study was to determine the prevalence, the associated risk factors, and the brucellosis model at the individual level of dairy cattle in the West Bandung District.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The research was conducted through a cross-sectional study. The samples were collected from the serum blood of dairy cattle. Data obtained from the questionnaire were used to investigate risk factors. Multistage random sampling was applied as the sampling technique; therefore, a sample size of 540 cows was selected. The number of farms and cattle on each farm was calculated using a variant effect design of the farm as well as 108 farms was selected with five cattle samples per farm. The results in regard of the research sample acquisition in the West Bandung District included 588 dairy cows from 116 farms, exceeds the number of samples calculated (540 dairy cows and 108 farms). The rose Bengal test (RBT) and the complement fixation test (CFT) were performed for brucellosis testing. Data associated with brucellosis cases at the individual level of the dairy cattle were analyzed using descriptive statistics univariate, bivariate with Chi-square, and odds ratio (OR). Moreover, multivariate logistic regression was used for the analysis during modeling.

RESULTS

The results showed that the prevalence of brucellosis at the individual level in the West Bandung District was 5.10%. Risk factors associated with brucellosis in cattle included the history of abortion (p=0.000; OR=9.9), the history of placental retention (p=0.000; OR=6.6), the history of endometritis (p=0.000; OR=5.5), the history of stillbirth (p=0.043; OR=3.0), the history of pregnancy abortion age at 7-8 months (p=0.000; OR=15.2), and the history of pregnancy abortion at the age of 4-6 months (p=0.007; OR=3.8). The model of brucellosis in dairy cows was the following: = -3.2843+3.41033 the history of pregnancy abortion at the age of 7-8 months +2.54503 the history of pregnancy abortion at the age of 4-6 months +1.86185 age of cattle >2 years - 1.0469 Calving interval 12 months. The model showed the factors that were associated with brucellosis at the individual level of dairy cattle included the history of pregnancy abortion at the age of 7-8 months (β=+3.41033; OR=30.3), the history of pregnancy abortion at the age of 4-6 months (β=+2.54503; OR=12.7); age of cattle >2 years (β=+1.86185; OR=1.2), and Calving interval ≤12 months (β=-1.04691; OR=0.34).

CONCLUSION

The results of this research showed that the prevalence of brucellosis at the individual level of dairy cattle in the West Bandung district was 5.10%. The risk factors could contribute to the increase of the brucellosis cases, that is, the history of pregnancy abortion at the age of 7-8, the history of pregnancy abortion at the age of 4-6 months, and the age of cattle >2 years. The risk factors can be decreased in the brucellosis cases, that is, calving intervals ≤12 months.

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/990a/7896884/4576bd92a88d/Vetworld-14-1-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/990a/7896884/b088594c82d1/Vetworld-14-1-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/990a/7896884/4576bd92a88d/Vetworld-14-1-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/990a/7896884/b088594c82d1/Vetworld-14-1-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/990a/7896884/4576bd92a88d/Vetworld-14-1-g002.jpg
摘要

背景与目的

布鲁氏菌病是一种人畜共患的细菌性传染病。西万隆是西爪哇省的奶牛养殖中心,也是布鲁氏菌病的地方性流行区。本研究的目的是确定西万隆地区奶牛个体层面的布鲁氏菌病患病率、相关危险因素及布鲁氏菌病模型。

材料与方法

本研究通过横断面研究进行。样本取自奶牛的血清血。通过问卷调查获得的数据用于调查危险因素。采用多阶段随机抽样作为抽样技术;因此,选取了540头奶牛作为样本量。使用农场的变异效应设计计算每个农场的农场数量和奶牛数量,并选取了108个农场,每个农场有5个奶牛样本。西万隆地区研究样本采集的结果包括来自116个农场的588头奶牛,超过了计算出的样本数量(540头奶牛和108个农场)。采用虎红平板凝集试验(RBT)和补体结合试验(CFT)进行布鲁氏菌病检测。使用单变量描述性统计、卡方双变量分析和比值比(OR)对奶牛个体层面与布鲁氏菌病病例相关的数据进行分析。此外,在建模过程中使用多变量逻辑回归进行分析。

结果

结果显示,西万隆地区奶牛个体层面的布鲁氏菌病患病率为5.10%。与奶牛布鲁氏菌病相关的危险因素包括流产史(p=0.000;OR=9.9)、胎盘滞留史(p=0.000;OR=6.6)、子宫内膜炎史(p=0.000;OR=5.5)、死胎史(p=0.043;OR=3.0)、7 - 8月龄妊娠流产史(p=0.000;OR=15.2)以及4 - 6月龄妊娠流产史(p=0.007;OR=3.8)。奶牛布鲁氏菌病模型如下:=-3.2843 + 3.41033×7 - 8月龄妊娠流产史 + 2.54503×4 - 6月龄妊娠流产史 + 1.86185×牛龄>2岁 - 1.0469×产犊间隔≤12个月。该模型显示,与奶牛个体层面布鲁氏菌病相关的因素包括7 - 8月龄妊娠流产史(β=+3.41033;OR=30.3)、4 - 6月龄妊娠流产史(β=+2.54503;OR=12.7)、牛龄>2岁(β=+1.86185;OR=1.2)以及产犊间隔≤12个月(β=-1.04691;OR=0.34)。

结论

本研究结果表明,西万隆地区奶牛个体层面的布鲁氏菌病患病率为5.10%。这些危险因素可能导致布鲁氏菌病病例增加,即7 - 8岁妊娠流产史、4 - 6月龄妊娠流产史以及牛龄>2岁。在布鲁氏菌病病例中,这些危险因素可以降低,即产犊间隔≤12个月。

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