Public Health and Tropical Medicine, College of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD, Australia.
Metro North Public Health Unit, Metro North Hospital and Health Service, Brisbane, Australia.
Epidemiol Infect. 2024 Aug 22;152:e98. doi: 10.1017/S0950268824000839.
Studies on climate variables and food pathogens are either pathogen- or region-specific, necessitating a consolidated view on the subject. This study aims to systematically review all studies on the association of ambient temperature and precipitation on the incidence of gastroenteritis and bacteraemia from , , , , and species. PubMed, Ovid MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were searched up to 9 March 2023. We screened 3,204 articles for eligibility and included 83 studies in the review and three in the meta-analysis. Except for one study on , all showed a positive association between temperature and , and gastroenteritis. Similarly, most of the included studies showed that precipitation was positively associated with these conditions. These positive associations were found regardless of the effect measure chosen. The pooled incidence rate ratio (IRR) for the three studies that included bacteraemia from and was 1.05 (95 per cent confidence interval (95% CI): 1.03, 1.06) for extreme temperature and 1.09 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.19) for extreme precipitation. If current climate trends continue, our findings suggest these pathogens would increase patient morbidity, the need for hospitalization, and prolonged antibiotic courses.
本研究旨在系统地综述有关气温和降水与肠炎和菌血症发病率之间关系的所有研究,涉及 、 、 、 和 种病原体。我们检索了 PubMed、Ovid MEDLINE、Scopus 和 Web of Science 数据库,截至 2023 年 3 月 9 日。我们筛选了 3204 篇文章以评估其纳入资格,并将 83 项研究纳入综述,3 项研究纳入荟萃分析。除了一项关于 的研究外,所有研究均表明温度与 、 和 肠炎之间存在正相关关系。同样,大多数纳入的研究表明降水与这些情况呈正相关。无论选择何种效应量指标,这些正相关关系均存在。纳入的 3 项关于 和 菌血症的研究的汇总发病率比值比(IRR)显示,极温时为 1.05(95%置信区间(95%CI):1.03,1.06),极降水时为 1.09(95%CI:0.99,1.19)。如果当前的气候趋势持续下去,我们的研究结果表明这些病原体将增加患者的发病率、住院需求和延长抗生素疗程。