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利用纵向电子健康记录,基于深度学习预测抗生素引起的艰难梭菌感染

Deep learning-based prediction of Clostridioides difficile infection caused by antibiotics using longitudinal electronic health records.

作者信息

Kim Junmo, Kim Joo Seong, Kim Sae-Hoon, Yoo Sooyoung, Lee Jun Kyu, Kim Kwangsoo

机构信息

Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Dongguk University Ilsan Hospital, Dongguk University College of Medicine, Goyang, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

NPJ Digit Med. 2024 Aug 24;7(1):224. doi: 10.1038/s41746-024-01215-4.

Abstract

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is a major cause of antibiotic-associated diarrhea and colitis. It is recognized as one of the most significant hospital-acquired infections. Although CDI can develop severe complications and spores of Clostridioides difficile can be transmitted by the fecal-oral route, CDI is occasionally overlooked in clinical settings. Thus, it is necessary to monitor high CDI risk groups, particularly those undergoing antibiotic treatment, to prevent complications and spread. We developed and validated a deep learning-based model to predict the occurrence of CDI within 28 days after starting antibiotic treatment using longitudinal electronic health records. For each patient, timelines of vital signs and laboratory tests with a 35-day monitoring period and a patient information vector consisting of age, sex, comorbidities, and medications were constructed. Our model achieved the prediction performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.952 (95% CI: 0.932-0.973) in internal validation and 0.972 (95% CI: 0.968-0.975) in external validation. Platelet count and body temperature emerged as the most important features. The risk score, the output value of the model, exhibited a consistent increase in the CDI group, while the risk score in the non-CDI group either maintained its initial value or decreased. Using our CDI prediction model, high-risk patients requiring symptom monitoring can be identified. This could help reduce the underdiagnosis of CDI, thereby decreasing transmission and preventing complications.

摘要

艰难梭菌感染(CDI)是抗生素相关性腹泻和结肠炎的主要原因。它被认为是最重要的医院获得性感染之一。尽管CDI可引发严重并发症,且艰难梭菌孢子可通过粪-口途径传播,但在临床环境中CDI有时会被忽视。因此,有必要监测CDI高风险人群,尤其是正在接受抗生素治疗的人群,以预防并发症和传播。我们开发并验证了一种基于深度学习的模型,该模型利用纵向电子健康记录预测开始抗生素治疗后28天内CDI的发生情况。对于每位患者,构建了35天监测期内的生命体征和实验室检查时间线,以及由年龄、性别、合并症和用药情况组成的患者信息向量。我们的模型在内部验证中的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.952(95%CI:0.932 - 0.973),在外部验证中的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.972(95%CI:0.968 - 0.975),达到了预测性能。血小板计数和体温成为最重要的特征。风险评分作为模型的输出值,在CDI组中持续升高,而非CDI组的风险评分要么保持初始值,要么降低。使用我们的CDI预测模型,可以识别出需要进行症状监测的高危患者。这有助于减少CDI的漏诊,从而减少传播并预防并发症。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd5e/11344761/0ca91d6cc7d7/41746_2024_1215_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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