Lynch John, Pierrehumbert Raymond
Bull At Sci. 2024 May 6;80(3):153-157. doi: 10.1080/00963402.2024.2339068. eCollection 2024.
A significant share of anthropogenic global warming comes from livestock production. There is debate about whether there can be any role for livestock in a climatically sustainable future; the debate is particularly heated for cows and sheep, largely due to the methane they burp out. However, short-lived gases like methane affect climate in a fundamentally different way than long-lived gases like carbon dioxide. Consequently, climate stabilization does not require zeroing-out cattle herds. But this doesn't mean we can eat our beef and have it (a tolerable climate) too-livestock still contribute to global warming. Preventing or limiting future growth in livestock-related emissions can represent a sensible part of the portfolio of responses to the climate crisis, particularly when carbon dioxide emissions are not on track to reach net zero sufficiently quickly.
全球人为造成的气候变暖有很大一部分来自畜牧业生产。对于在气候可持续的未来畜牧业是否能发挥任何作用存在争议;关于牛和羊的争议尤为激烈,主要是因为它们会排放甲烷。然而,像甲烷这样的短期气体对气候的影响与像二氧化碳这样的长期气体有着根本的不同。因此,稳定气候并不需要将牛群数量归零。但这并不意味着我们可以既吃牛肉又能拥有(一个可容忍的气候)——畜牧业仍然会导致全球变暖。防止或限制未来与畜牧业相关的排放增长可以成为应对气候危机措施组合中的一个合理部分,特别是当二氧化碳排放未能足够迅速地实现净零时。