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本文引用的文献

1
Food systems are responsible for a third of global anthropogenic GHG emissions.食物系统产生的温室气体排放量占全球人为温室气体排放总量的三分之一。
Nat Food. 2021 Mar;2(3):198-209. doi: 10.1038/s43016-021-00225-9. Epub 2021 Mar 8.
2
Indicate separate contributions of long-lived and short-lived greenhouse gases in emission targets.指明长期和短期温室气体在排放目标中的单独贡献。
NPJ Clim Atmos Sci. 2022 Jan 28;5:5. doi: 10.1038/s41612-021-00226-2.
3
How necessary and feasible are reductions of methane emissions from livestock to support stringent temperature goals?减少畜牧业甲烷排放以支持严格的温度目标,在必要性和可行性方面如何?
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2021 Nov 15;379(2210):20200452. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2020.0452. Epub 2021 Sep 27.
4
Agriculture's Contribution to Climate Change and Role in Mitigation Is Distinct From Predominantly Fossil CO-Emitting Sectors.农业对气候变化的贡献及其在缓解气候变化中的作用与主要排放化石燃料二氧化碳的行业不同。
Front Sustain Food Syst. 2021 Feb 3;4:518039. doi: 10.3389/fsufs.2020.518039.
5
Global food system emissions could preclude achieving the 1.5° and 2°C climate change targets.全球食物系统排放可能使 1.5°C 和 2°C 的气候变化目标无法实现。
Science. 2020 Nov 6;370(6517):705-708. doi: 10.1126/science.aba7357.
6
Implications of possible interpretations of 'greenhouse gas balance' in the Paris Agreement.《巴黎协定》中“温室气体平衡”可能解释的影响。
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2018 May 13;376(2119). doi: 10.1098/rsta.2016.0445.

“净零”意味着零头牛吗?

Does 'net zero' mean zero cows?

作者信息

Lynch John, Pierrehumbert Raymond

出版信息

Bull At Sci. 2024 May 6;80(3):153-157. doi: 10.1080/00963402.2024.2339068. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.1080/00963402.2024.2339068
PMID:39445099
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11495480/
Abstract

A significant share of anthropogenic global warming comes from livestock production. There is debate about whether there can be any role for livestock in a climatically sustainable future; the debate is particularly heated for cows and sheep, largely due to the methane they burp out. However, short-lived gases like methane affect climate in a fundamentally different way than long-lived gases like carbon dioxide. Consequently, climate stabilization does not require zeroing-out cattle herds. But this doesn't mean we can eat our beef and have it (a tolerable climate) too-livestock still contribute to global warming. Preventing or limiting future growth in livestock-related emissions can represent a sensible part of the portfolio of responses to the climate crisis, particularly when carbon dioxide emissions are not on track to reach net zero sufficiently quickly.

摘要

全球人为造成的气候变暖有很大一部分来自畜牧业生产。对于在气候可持续的未来畜牧业是否能发挥任何作用存在争议;关于牛和羊的争议尤为激烈,主要是因为它们会排放甲烷。然而,像甲烷这样的短期气体对气候的影响与像二氧化碳这样的长期气体有着根本的不同。因此,稳定气候并不需要将牛群数量归零。但这并不意味着我们可以既吃牛肉又能拥有(一个可容忍的气候)——畜牧业仍然会导致全球变暖。防止或限制未来与畜牧业相关的排放增长可以成为应对气候危机措施组合中的一个合理部分,特别是当二氧化碳排放未能足够迅速地实现净零时。