Marketing Department, The Chinese University of Hong Kong Business School, Ma Liu Shui, Hong Kong.
Duolingo, Pittsburgh, PA 15206.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Dec 3;121(49):e2409191121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2409191121. Epub 2024 Nov 27.
We report the findings of an adversarial collaboration examining whether the cognitive reflection test (CRT) measures anything beyond mathematical aptitude and, if so, whether its incremental predictive validity can be attributed to reflection, per se. We found that an 8-item CRT has greater predictive validity than an 8-item Mathematical Aptitude Test (MAT) consisting of comparably difficult items which lack dominant intuitive lures. Further, the incremental predictive validity stems from the CRT's measurement of reflection, which we show using both structural equation models and a dual-response paradigm that helps distinguish susceptibility to intuitions from inadequate mathematical aptitude.
我们报告了一项对抗性合作研究的结果,该研究旨在探讨认知反射测试(CRT)是否除了数学能力之外还能衡量其他什么,以及如果是这样,其增量预测效度是否可以归因于反射本身。我们发现,一个由 8 个项目组成的 CRT 比一个由具有相同难度但缺乏主导直觉诱饵的项目组成的 8 个项目的数学能力测试(MAT)具有更高的预测效度。此外,增量预测效度源于 CRT 对反射的测量,我们使用结构方程模型和一个双重反应范式来证明这一点,该范式有助于区分对直觉的易感性和数学能力的不足。