Zhang Xiao, Shen Gang
Department of Statistics, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND, USA.
J Appl Stat. 2024 Apr 29;51(16):3292-3307. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2024.2346822. eCollection 2024.
In the classical theory of locally optimal designs, which is developed within the framework of the center+error model, the most efficient design is the one based on MGLE, the maximum Gaussian likelihood estimator. However, practical scenarios often lack of complete information as to the governing probability model for the response measure and deviate from Gaussianity and homoscedasticity assumptions, in which, MqLE, the maximum quasi-likelihood estimator, has been advocated in the literature. In this work, we examine the locally optimal design based on the novel oracle-SLSE, the second-order least-square estimator, in the case where the underlying probability model is incompletely specified. We find that in a general setting, our oracle SLSE-based optimal design, incorporating skewness and kurtosis information, outperforms those based on MqLE or MGLE. Our numerical experiment supports this, with locally D-optimal designs based on MqLE approaching the efficiency of oracle-SLSE designs in some cases. This research guides the choice of estimators in practical scenarios departing from ideal assumptions.
在中心+误差模型框架内发展起来的局部最优设计经典理论中,最有效的设计是基于最大高斯似然估计器(MGLE)的设计。然而,实际情况往往缺乏关于响应测量的主导概率模型的完整信息,并且偏离高斯性和同方差性假设,在这种情况下,文献中提倡使用最大拟似然估计器(MqLE)。在这项工作中,我们研究了在基础概率模型未完全指定的情况下,基于新型神谕二阶最小二乘估计器(oracle - SLSE)的局部最优设计。我们发现,在一般情况下,我们基于神谕SLSE的最优设计,结合了偏度和峰度信息,优于基于MqLE或MGLE的设计。我们的数值实验支持了这一点,在某些情况下,基于MqLE的局部D最优设计接近神谕SLSE设计的效率。这项研究指导了在偏离理想假设的实际场景中估计器的选择。