Zhou Jianfang, Li Hong-Liang, Luo Xu-Ying, Chen Guang-Qiang, Yang Yan-Lin, Zhang Linlin, Xu Ming, Shi Guang Zhi, Zhou Jian-Xin
Department of Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Beijing, China.
Department of Critical Care Medicine, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, Beijing, China.
BMJ Open. 2025 Jan 2;15(1):e088219. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-088219.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of the cough peak flow (CPF) for successful extubation in postcraniotomy critically ill patients.
This was a single-centre prospective diagnostic study.
The study was conducted in three intensive care units (ICUs) of a teaching hospital.
Postcraniotomy patients who were 18 years or older, stayed in ICU for more than 24 hours and underwent mechanical ventilation for more than 24 hours were eligible for the study. Patients were excluded if one of the following was present: no extubation attempt during the ICU stay; underwent tracheostomy without extubation attempt; pregnant or lactating women; enrolled in other clinical trials; declined to participate in the study. A total of 4879 patients were screened and 1037 were eligible for the study, among whom 785 were included in the study.
CPF, including involuntary (CPF-invol) and voluntary CPF (CPF-vol), were measured before extubation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to explore the diagnostic accuracy of CPF in predicting successful extubation.
There were 641 successful extubation cases (81.7%). The AUC of CPF-invol for predicting successful extubation was 0.810 (95% CI 0.766 to 0.854), with a cut-off value of 63.2 L/min, a sensitivity of 87.4% and a specificity of 66.7%. For conscious patients, the AUC of CPF-invol for the prediction of successful extubation was 0.849 (95% CI 0.794 to 0.904), with a cut-off value of 63.2 L/min and the AUC of CPF-vol was 0.756 (95% CI 0.696 to 0.817), with a cut-off value of 68.2 L/min.
The CPF was much higher in patients with successful extubation than that in patients with failed extubation. CPF might be valuable for the prediction of extubation outcomes in postcraniotomy critically ill patients. Multicentre studies could be carried out to further validate the results of this study.
NCT04000997.
本研究旨在评估咳嗽峰流速(CPF)对开颅术后重症患者成功拔管的预测价值。
这是一项单中心前瞻性诊断研究。
该研究在一家教学医院的三个重症监护病房(ICU)进行。
年龄在18岁及以上、在ICU停留超过24小时且接受机械通气超过24小时的开颅术后患者符合本研究条件。若患者存在以下情况之一则被排除:在ICU停留期间未尝试拔管;接受气管切开术但未尝试拔管;孕妇或哺乳期妇女;参加其他临床试验;拒绝参与本研究。共筛查了4879例患者,其中1037例符合研究条件,最终785例纳入研究。
在拔管前测量CPF,包括非自主CPF(CPF-invol)和自主CPF(CPF-vol)。计算受试者工作特征曲线(AUC)下面积,以探讨CPF预测成功拔管的诊断准确性。
成功拔管641例(81.7%)。CPF-invol预测成功拔管AUC为0.810(95%CI 0.766至0.854),截断值为63.2L/min,灵敏度为87.4%,特异度为66.7%。对于清醒患者,CPF-invol预测成功拔管AUC为0.849(95%CI 0.794至0.904),截断值为63.2L/min,CPF-vol的AUC为0.756(95%CI 0.696至0.817),截断值为68.2L/min。
成功拔管患者的CPF远高于拔管失败患者。CPF可能对预测开颅术后重症患者的拔管结局有价值。可开展多中心研究以进一步验证本研究结果。
NCT04000997。