需要迅速采取气候行动：比较高温与新冠疫情相关死亡率。
Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality.
作者信息
Batibeniz Fulden, Seneviratne Sonia I, Jha Srinidhi, Ribeiro Andreia, Suarez Gutierrez Laura, Raible Christoph C, Malhotra Avni, Armstrong Ben, Bell Michelle L, Lavigne Eric, Gasparrini Antonio, Guo Yuming, Hashizume Masahiro, Masselot Pierre, da Silva Susana Pereira, Royé Dominic, Sera Francesco, Tong Shilu, Urban Aleš, Vicedo-Cabrera Ana M
机构信息
Department of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
出版信息
Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 6;15(1):1002. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-82788-8.
The impacts of climate change on human health are often underestimated or perceived to be in a distant future. Here, we present the projected impacts of climate change in the context of COVID-19, a recent human health catastrophe. We compared projected heat mortality with COVID-19 deaths in 38 cities worldwide and found that in half of these cities, heat-related deaths could exceed annual COVID-19 deaths in less than ten years (at + 3.0 °C increase in global warming relative to preindustrial). In seven of these cities, heat mortality could exceed COVID-19 deaths in less than five years. Our results underscore the crucial need for climate action and for the integration of climate change into public health discourse and policy.
气候变化对人类健康的影响常常被低估，或者被认为是在遥远的未来。在此，我们在新冠疫情这一近期发生的人类健康灾难的背景下，呈现气候变化的预测影响。我们比较了全球38个城市的预计高温死亡人数与新冠死亡人数，发现其中一半城市在不到十年内（相对于工业化前全球变暖增加3.0°C时），与高温相关的死亡人数可能超过每年的新冠死亡人数。在其中七个城市，高温死亡人数可能在不到五年内超过新冠死亡人数。我们的结果强调了气候行动以及将气候变化纳入公共卫生讨论和政策的迫切需求。
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