Ogunbode Timothy O, Esan Vincent I, Ayegboyin Modupe H, Ogunlaran Oladotun M, Sangoyomi Elizabeth T, Akande John A
Environmental Management and Crop Production Unit, College of Agriculture, Engineering and Science, Bowen University, Iwo, Osun State, Nigeria.
Mathematics Programme, College of Agriculture, Engineering and Science, Bowen University, Iwo, Osun State, Nigeria.
Sci Rep. 2025 Feb 12;15(1):5205. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-90056-6.
This study evaluates sweet orange farmers' understanding of climate change impacts on sweet orange farming in Nigeria. A survey was conducted among 480 farmers across six key sweet orange-producing states, with 418 completed questionnaires analysed using descriptive and inferential statistical methods. The findings revealed that 78% of sweet orange farmers were male, 61% used pesticides for pest control, and 34.92% managed between 1 and 3 acres of sweet orange farms. The data underwent rigorous validation using the Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin and Bartlett's tests (p < 0.05), confirming its suitability for factor analysis. Six key factors shaping farmers' perceptions of climate change impacts were identified: production volume, high-temperature effects, prolonged dry seasons, shifting rainfall patterns, flooding incidence, and poor seedling performance. To mitigate climate change impacts, three major adaptation strategies were highlighted: (i) regular and timely dissemination of climate-related information to farmers (36.33%), (ii) enhanced government support through access to credit, extension services, public lectures, outreach programmes, and agrochemical subsidies (23.38%), and (iii) promotion of heat-resistant seeds and seedlings (11.50%). Policy recommendations include the establishment of a climate-resilient agricultural framework that integrates climate-smart farming techniques into extension services. The government should prioritise subsidies and financial support for smallholder farmers to enhance adaptive capacity. Additionally, investment in agricultural research to develop and distribute climate-resilient sweet orange seedlings should be intensified. Collaboration between meteorological agencies and agricultural extension officers should be strengthened to ensure farmers receive accurate, timely weather forecasts. Lastly, policymakers should design region-specific climate adaptation policies to support sustainable sweet orange production. Further research is recommended to assess the long-term effectiveness of these adaptation strategies in sustaining sweet orange farming under changing climatic conditions.
本研究评估了尼日利亚甜橙种植户对气候变化对甜橙种植影响的理解。在六个主要甜橙生产州对480名种植户进行了调查,对418份完整问卷使用描述性和推断性统计方法进行了分析。研究结果显示,78%的甜橙种植户为男性,61%使用农药进行病虫害防治,34.92%经营1至3英亩的甜橙农场。数据通过凯泽 - 迈耶 - 奥尔金检验和巴特利特检验进行了严格验证(p < 0.05),证实其适用于因子分析。确定了影响种植户对气候变化影响认知的六个关键因素:产量、高温影响、旱季延长、降雨模式变化、洪水发生率和幼苗表现不佳。为减轻气候变化影响,突出了三项主要适应策略:(i)定期及时向种植户传播气候相关信息(36.33%),(ii)通过提供信贷、推广服务、公开讲座、外展项目和农用化学品补贴加强政府支持(23.38%),以及(iii)推广耐热种子和幼苗(11.50%)。政策建议包括建立一个气候适应型农业框架,将气候智能型种植技术纳入推广服务。政府应优先为小农户提供补贴和财政支持,以增强适应能力。此外,应加大对农业研究的投资,以开发和推广适应气候变化的甜橙幼苗。应加强气象机构与农业推广人员之间的合作,以确保种植户获得准确、及时的天气预报。最后,政策制定者应制定针对特定地区的气候适应政策,以支持甜橙的可持续生产。建议进一步开展研究,以评估这些适应策略在气候变化条件下维持甜橙种植的长期有效性。