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撒哈拉以南非洲国家对气候变化的脆弱性。国际贸易重要吗?

Vulnerability to climate change in sub-Saharan Africa countries. Does international trade matter?

作者信息

Henri Aurélien Ateba Boyomo

机构信息

Economics and Management Research Center (CEREG), Lecturer in the Quantitative Techniques Department, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Yaoundé II, BP, 1365 Yaoundé, Cameroon.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2025 Feb 7;11(4):e42517. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2025.e42517. eCollection 2025 Feb 28.

Abstract

In a global context of climate vulnerability, characterized by populations' exposure to extreme temperatures, floods, and droughts, we highlight the role of international trade in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries resilience to climate shocks. Therefore, this paper examines the direct and indirect role of international trade in climate change vulnerability using a country-time fixed effects model and a panel of 39 sub-Saharan African countries over the period 2000 to 2021. The results obtained using the Two-Way Fixed Effects (TWFE) method indicate that international trade, as a vector of wealth creation, directly reduces climate change vulnerability in SSA. We also find that international trade reduces climate change vulnerability through the channels of GDP, water availability, renewable energy and ICT. However, we show that food insecurity reduces the effect of international trade on climate change vulnerability. We recommend: intensifying trade practices to generate wealth, especially trade in environmental goods and services that allow for measuring, preventing, limiting, and reducing environmental damages. We also propose the implementation of government strategies to prepare for climate change, such as environmental policies. From the above, we have given this study implications not only in scientific terms but also in terms of commercial practice by the state and companies.

摘要

在全球气候脆弱性背景下,其特征是人们面临极端温度、洪水和干旱,我们强调国际贸易在撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家应对气候冲击韧性方面的作用。因此,本文使用国家-时间固定效应模型以及2000年至2021年期间39个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的面板数据,研究了国际贸易在气候变化脆弱性方面的直接和间接作用。使用双向固定效应(TWFE)方法获得的结果表明,国际贸易作为财富创造的载体,直接降低了撒哈拉以南非洲地区的气候变化脆弱性。我们还发现,国际贸易通过国内生产总值、水资源可用性、可再生能源和信息通信技术等渠道降低气候变化脆弱性。然而,我们表明粮食不安全会降低国际贸易对气候变化脆弱性的影响。我们建议:加强贸易活动以创造财富,特别是环境商品和服务贸易,这有助于衡量、预防、限制和减少环境破坏。我们还提议实施政府应对气候变化的战略,如环境政策。综上所述,我们不仅从科学角度,而且从国家和企业的商业实践角度赋予了本研究意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/48dd/11874565/d03d91a1c239/gr1.jpg

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