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非老年成人内脏脂肪指数与全因死亡率和心血管死亡率之间的关联。

Association between visceral adiposity index and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the non-elderly adults.

作者信息

Zhang Jiqian, Li Ming, Wang Tongxin, Tian Wende, Ju Jianqing, Xu Hao

机构信息

Graduate School, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, China.

National Clinical Research Center for Chinese Medicine Cardiology, Xiyuan Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2025 Feb 21;16:1523731. doi: 10.3389/fendo.2025.1523731. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The visceral adiposity index (VAI) reflects changes in visceral adipose function and is also linked to cardiometabolic risk. The study aimed to investigate the association between VAI and both all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the U.S. population aged 20-65 years.

METHODS

This study included data from 9,094 American adults aged 20-65 years from the 2009-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). The exposure variable was VAI, while the outcome variables were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. The Cox regression model was employed to explore the correlation between VAI and mortality among participants. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to explore the nonlinear associations, and a two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards model was applied on both sides of the inflection point. We used subgroup analyses and interaction tests to further investigate the association between VAI and mortality in different populations. Additionally, time-dependent Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to evaluate the capability of VAI in forecasting survival.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 74 months, 251 deaths from all causes and 50 cardiovascular-related deaths were recorded. RCS analyses did not find a nonlinear correlation between VAI and all-cause mortality (P for overall = 0.0006, P for nonlinear = 0.9927) but showed a nonlinear correlation with cardiovascular mortality (P for overall = 0.0010, P for nonlinear = 0.0062). For cardiovascular mortality, when VAI was below the threshold value (2.49), a significant positive association was observed with cardiovascular mortality. When VAI was below 2.49, the risk of cardiovascular mortality increased by 122 percent for each unit increase in VAI (HR=2.22, 95% CI:1.36-3.61). For VAI ≥ 2.49, changes in VAI did not significantly impact cardiovascular mortality risk. In subgroup analyses, the stratified results remained consistent, with no significant interactions observed in any of the subgroups (all P for interaction> 0.05). Furthermore, the areas under the curve (AUC) for 2-, 5-, and 10-year survival rates were 0.82, 0.80, and 0.79 for all-cause mortality and 0.86, 0.86, and 0.82 for cardiovascular mortality, respectively.

CONCLUSION

VAI was found to have a positive association with all-cause mortality and a nonlinear association with cardiovascular mortality in the non-elderly adults, with a threshold value of 2.49 for cardiovascular mortality.

摘要

背景

内脏脂肪指数(VAI)反映内脏脂肪功能的变化,也与心脏代谢风险相关。本研究旨在调查20 - 65岁美国人群中VAI与全因死亡率和心血管死亡率之间的关联。

方法

本研究纳入了2009 - 2018年美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)中9094名年龄在20 - 65岁的美国成年人的数据。暴露变量为VAI,结果变量为全因死亡率和心血管死亡率。采用Cox回归模型探讨参与者中VAI与死亡率之间的相关性。使用受限立方样条(RCS)来探索非线性关联,并在拐点两侧应用两段式Cox比例风险模型。我们进行亚组分析和交互作用检验,以进一步研究不同人群中VAI与死亡率之间的关联。此外,进行时间依赖性受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析,以评估VAI预测生存的能力。

结果

在中位随访期74个月期间,记录了251例全因死亡和50例心血管相关死亡。RCS分析未发现VAI与全因死亡率之间存在非线性相关性(总体P = 0.0006,非线性P = 0.9927),但显示与心血管死亡率存在非线性相关性(总体P = 0.0010,非线性P = 0.0062)。对于心血管死亡率,当VAI低于阈值(2.49)时,观察到与心血管死亡率存在显著正相关。当VAI低于2.49时,VAI每增加一个单位,心血管死亡率风险增加122%(HR = 2.22,95%CI:1.36 - 3.61)。对于VAI≥2.49,VAI的变化对心血管死亡率风险没有显著影响。在亚组分析中,分层结果保持一致,在任何亚组中均未观察到显著的交互作用(所有交互作用P>0.05)。此外,全因死亡率的2年、5年和10年生存率的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.82、0.80和0.79,心血管死亡率的分别为0.86、0.86和0.82。

结论

在非老年成年人中,发现VAI与全因死亡率呈正相关,与心血管死亡率呈非线性相关,心血管死亡率的阈值为2.49。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac00/11885296/29e4e810be7e/fendo-16-1523731-g001.jpg

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