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1990年至2021年10至24岁年轻人甲状腺癌的全球、区域和国家负担:基于《2021年全球疾病负担研究》的分析

Global, regional, and national burden of thyroid cancer in young people aged 10-24 years from 1990 to 2021: an analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

作者信息

Huang Kaiyuan, Wang Ningxin, Huang Xuanwei, Qian Shuoying, Cai Yuan, Wu Fan, Luo Dingcun

机构信息

The Fourth Clinical Medical College, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou First People's Hospital, Zhejiang, Hangzhou, 310053, China.

Department of Surgical Oncology,, Affiliated Hangzhou First People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Westlake University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310006, China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2025 Mar 31;25(1):1221. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-22322-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The burden of thyroid cancer (TC) among young people aged 10-24 years has not been systematically studied to date. This study aims to analyze the burden of TC among young people aged 10-24 years globally, regionally, and nationally from 1990 to 2021.

METHODS

We collected data on the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates for TC among young people aged 10-24 years from 1990 to 2021 using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021. Joinpoint regression analysis, frontier analysis, and health inequality analysis were employed to examine the variations and changes in TC burden among young people aged 10-24 years across different countries and regions.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2021, the global burden of TC among young people has increased from 2.726 per 100,000 people [95% Uncertainty Interval (UI) 2.38-3.181] to 2.956 per 100,000 people (95% UI: 2.339-3.922), with an Average Annual Percent Change (AAPC) of 0.258 (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.138-0.378). The highest incidence rates were observed in Saudi Arabia, Taiwan (China), and Vietnam, while the highest mortality rates were in India, China, and Bangladesh. Frontier analysis revealed that the largest disparities in effective differences were found in the Netherlands, Germany, Canada, the United States of America, and Guinea-Bissau. The Slope Index of Inequality (SII) for DALYs increased slightly from -0.15 in 1990 to -1.3 in 2021.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past three decades, the burden of TC has increased globally among young people, particularly in poorer countries and regions. This study highlights the importance of formulating public health policies tailored to the specific circumstances of different countries and regions aimed at reducing the TC burden among young people.

摘要

背景

10至24岁年轻人的甲状腺癌(TC)负担迄今尚未得到系统研究。本研究旨在分析1990年至2021年全球、区域和国家层面10至24岁年轻人的TC负担。

方法

我们使用《2021年全球疾病负担》(GBD 2021)收集了1990年至2021年10至24岁年轻人TC的发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)率数据。采用Joinpoint回归分析、前沿分析和健康不平等分析,研究不同国家和地区10至24岁年轻人TC负担的变化情况。

结果

1990年至2021年,全球年轻人的TC负担从每10万人2.726例[95%不确定区间(UI)2.38 - 3.181]增至每10万人2.956例(95% UI:2.339 - 3.922),平均年变化百分比(AAPC)为0.258(95%置信区间(CI):0.138 - 0.378)。沙特阿拉伯、中国台湾地区和越南的发病率最高,而印度、中国和孟加拉国的死亡率最高。前沿分析显示,荷兰、德国、加拿大、美国和几内亚比绍的有效差异最大。DALYs的不平等斜率指数(SII)从1990年的 - 0.15略有增加至2021年的 - 1.3。

结论

在过去三十年中,全球年轻人的TC负担有所增加,尤其是在较贫穷的国家和地区。本研究强调了制定针对不同国家和地区具体情况的公共卫生政策以减轻年轻人TC负担的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e126/11959951/ae751e54deba/12889_2025_22322_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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