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为下一次大流行做准备:来自新西兰应对新冠疫情的见解。

Preparing for the next pandemic: insights from Aotearoa New Zealand's Covid-19 response.

作者信息

French Nigel P, Maxwell Howard, Baker Michael G, Callaghan Fiona, Dyet Kristin, Geoghegan Jemma L, Hayman David T S, Huang Q Sue, Kvalsvig Amanda, Russell Euan, Scott Pippa, Thompson Te Pora, Plank Michael J

机构信息

Tāwharau Ora, Massey University, Tennant Drive, Palmerston North 4442, New Zealand.

Division of Health Sciences, University of Otago, Dunedin 9016, New Zealand.

出版信息

Lancet Reg Health West Pac. 2025 Mar 18;56:101525. doi: 10.1016/j.lanwpc.2025.101525. eCollection 2025 Mar.

DOI:10.1016/j.lanwpc.2025.101525
PMID:40177595
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11964541/
Abstract

In 2020 Aotearoa New Zealand, like many other countries, faced the coronavirus pandemic armed with an influenza-based pandemic plan. The country adapted rapidly to mount a highly strategic and effective elimination response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, implementation was hampered by gaps in pandemic preparedness. These gaps undermined effectiveness of the response and exacerbated inequitable impacts of both Covid-19 disease and control measures. Our review examines the Covid-19 response, reflecting on strengths, limitations and implications for pandemic planning. We identify three key areas for improvement: 1) development of a systematised procedure for risk assessment of a new pandemic pathogen; 2) investment in essential capabilities during inter-pandemic periods; and 3) building equity into all stages of the response. We present a typology of potential pathogens and scenarios and describe the evidence assessment process and core capabilities required for countries to respond fluidly, equitably, and effectively to a rapidly emerging pandemic threat.

摘要

2020年,新西兰与许多其他国家一样,凭借基于流感的大流行计划应对新冠疫情。该国迅速做出调整,对严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)大流行采取了极具战略意义且有效的消除应对措施。然而,疫情应对的实施受到大流行防范漏洞的阻碍。这些漏洞削弱了应对措施的有效性,加剧了新冠疾病及防控措施造成的不公平影响。我们的综述审视了对新冠疫情的应对情况,反思其优势、局限性以及对大流行规划的启示。我们确定了三个关键改进领域:1)制定针对新大流行病原体风险评估的系统化程序;2)在两次大流行期间对基本能力进行投资;3)在应对的各个阶段纳入公平性考量。我们提出了潜在病原体和情景的类型,并描述了各国为灵活、公平且有效地应对迅速出现的大流行威胁所需的证据评估过程和核心能力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20d9/11964541/a81bb270f409/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20d9/11964541/a81bb270f409/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20d9/11964541/a81bb270f409/gr1.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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A cross-sectional online survey of depression symptoms among New Zealand's Asian community in the first 10 months of the COVID-19 pandemic.在新冠疫情大流行的前10个月期间,针对新西兰亚裔社区抑郁症状开展的一项横断面在线调查。
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An evaluation of the population uptake and contact tracer utilisation of the Covid-19 Bluetooth Exposure Notification Framework in New Zealand.
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Nat Med. 2024 Aug;30(8):2148-2164. doi: 10.1038/s41591-024-03173-6. Epub 2024 Aug 9.
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An evaluation of the COVID-19 self-service digital contact tracing system in New Zealand.新西兰对 COVID-19 自助式数字接触者追踪系统的评估。
Health Policy. 2024 Jun;144:105073. doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2024.105073. Epub 2024 Apr 17.
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Population and contact tracer uptake of New Zealand's QR-code-based digital contact tracing app for COVID-19.新西兰基于 QR 码的 COVID-19 数字接触者追踪应用程序的人口和接触者追踪参与情况。
Epidemiol Infect. 2024 Apr 17;152:e66. doi: 10.1017/S0950268824000608.
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Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950-2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.204 个国家和地区及 811 个次国家级行政单位 1950 年至 2021 年的全球年龄、性别特异性死亡率、预期寿命和人口估计,以及 COVID-19 大流行的影响:2021 年全球疾病负担研究的综合人口分析。
Lancet. 2024 May 18;403(10440):1989-2056. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8. Epub 2024 Mar 11.
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Continued mitigation needed to minimise the high health burden from COVID-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand.新西兰需持续采取缓解措施,以尽量减少 COVID-19 对健康造成的沉重负担。
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Measuring the missing: Knowledge, risk perceptions and self-protection practices of COVID-19 among the Asian population in New Zealand: An online survey.衡量缺失的部分:新西兰亚洲人群中对新冠病毒的认知、风险感知及自我防护措施:一项在线调查。
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