Tsai Hsinhan, Yang Ta-Wei, Wu Tien-Yi, Tu Ya-Chi, Chen Cheng-Lung, Chou Cheng-Fu
Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Graduate Institute of Networking and Multimedia, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Sci Rep. 2025 May 3;15(1):15468. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-99554-z.
Chronic diseases are a critical focus in the management of elderly health. Early disease prediction plays a vital role in achieving disease prevention and reducing the associated burden on individuals and healthcare systems. Traditionally, separate models were required to predict different diseases, a process that demanded significant time and computational resources. In this research, we utilized a nationwide dataset and proposed a multi-task learning approach combined with a multimodal disease prediction model. By leveraging patients' medical records and personal information as input, the model predicts the risks of diabetes mellitus, heart disease, stroke, and hypertension simultaneously. This approach addresses the limitations of traditional methods by capturing the correlations between these diseases while maintaining strong predictive performance, even with a reduced number of features. Furthermore, our analysis of attention scores identified risk factors that align with previous research, enhancing the model's interpretability and demonstrating its potential for real-world applications.
慢性病是老年健康管理的关键重点。疾病早期预测在实现疾病预防以及减轻对个人和医疗保健系统的相关负担方面发挥着至关重要的作用。传统上,需要使用不同的模型来预测不同的疾病,这一过程需要大量的时间和计算资源。在本研究中,我们利用了一个全国性数据集,并提出了一种结合多模态疾病预测模型的多任务学习方法。通过将患者的病历和个人信息作为输入,该模型可同时预测糖尿病、心脏病、中风和高血压的风险。这种方法通过捕捉这些疾病之间的相关性来解决传统方法的局限性,同时即使在特征数量减少的情况下仍保持强大的预测性能。此外,我们对注意力分数的分析确定了与先前研究一致的风险因素,增强了模型的可解释性,并证明了其在实际应用中的潜力。