Xu Wanzhen, Ali Arshad
Institute of Environment & Development (LESTARI), University Kebangsaan Malaysia, Selangor, Malaysia.
School of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin, China.
GM Crops Food. 2025 Dec;16(1):340-359. doi: 10.1080/21645698.2025.2499998. Epub 2025 May 4.
Densely populated countries have greater demand for agricultural output, greater vehicle usage, and busier traffic, so these countries devote more agricultural land to agricultural production and invest more in transportation infrastructure, resulting in higher environmental emissions. Most studies in literature assume that environment-related technologies directly diminish environmental contamination, while this study suggests that environment-related technologies indirectly mitigate environmental hazards through interactions with agricultural land use, agricultural value addition, and transportation infrastructure. Thus, this study determines to disclose the influence of agricultural land use, agricultural value added, and transportation infrastructure investment on ecological damage in countries with the highest population density during the period 1990-2022; and the sole moderating effect of environment-related technologies in the association of the proposed regressors with CO emissions. Results illustrate that agricultural land use and investment in transportation infrastructure contribute significantly to CO emissions, but only in the long term. However, agriculture value addition strongly promotes environmental contamination in both the short and long term. Furthermore, in the long run, the reversed U-designed EKC premise holds only for the top five most populous countries. Environmental contamination can be mitigated through environmentally relevant technologies when interacting with agriculture land use, value addition of agricultural and investment in transportation infrastructure. Finally, (>-1.115) is the estimated threshold level of environment-related technologies, at which agricultural land use, agricultural value added, and transportation infrastructure can significantly improve environmental quality. Policymakers in densely populated countries should prioritize the adoption of environmentally friendly technologies in agriculture and transportation to achieve environmental sustainability.
人口密集的国家对农业产出的需求更大,车辆使用更频繁,交通更繁忙,因此这些国家将更多的农业用地用于农业生产,并在交通基础设施方面投入更多,导致更高的环境排放。文献中的大多数研究假设与环境相关的技术能直接减少环境污染,而本研究表明,与环境相关的技术通过与农业土地利用、农业附加值和交通基础设施的相互作用间接减轻环境危害。因此,本研究旨在揭示1990 - 2022年期间人口密度最高的国家中,农业土地利用、农业增加值和交通基础设施投资对生态破坏的影响;以及与环境相关的技术在所提出的回归变量与一氧化碳排放关联中的唯一调节作用。结果表明,农业土地利用和交通基础设施投资对一氧化碳排放有显著贡献,但仅在长期如此。然而,农业附加值在短期和长期都强烈促进环境污染。此外,从长远来看,倒U型设计的环境库兹涅茨曲线前提仅适用于人口最多的五个国家。当与农业土地利用、农业附加值和交通基础设施投资相互作用时,与环境相关的技术可以减轻环境污染。最后,(>-1.115)是与环境相关技术的估计阈值水平,在该水平上,农业土地利用、农业附加值和交通基础设施可以显著改善环境质量。人口密集国家的政策制定者应优先在农业和交通领域采用环保技术,以实现环境可持续性。