School of Government, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210046, Jiangsu, China.
Esai Business School, Universidad Espíritu Santo, Samborondon, 091650, Ecuador.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Mar;30(14):40094-40106. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-25100-3. Epub 2023 Jan 6.
Attaining Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is important to control the adverse impacts of climate change and achieve sustainable development. Among the 17 SDGs, target 13 emphasizes enhancing urgent actions to combat climate-related changes. This target is also dependent on target 7, which advocates enhancing access to cheap alternative sustainable energy. To accomplish these targets, it is vital to curb the transport CO emissions (TCO) which increased by approximately 80% from 1990 to 2019. Thus, this study assesses the role of transport renewable energy consumption (TRN) in TCO by taking into consideration transport fossil fuel consumption (TTF) and road infrastructure (RF) from 1970 to 2019 for the United States (US) with the intention to suggest some suitable mitigation policies. Also, this study assessed the presence of transport environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) to assess the direction of transport-induced growth. The study used the Bayer-Hanck cointegration test which utilizes four different cointegration techniques to decide cointegration along with the Gradual Shift causality test which considers structural shift and fractional integration in time series data. The long-run findings of the Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) test, which counters endogeneity and serial correlation, revealed that the transport renewable energy use mitigates as well as Granger causes TCO. However, transport fossil fuel usage and road infrastructure enhance TCO. Surprisingly, the transport EKC is invalid in the case of the US, and increased growth levels are harmful to the environment. The association between TCO and economic growth is similar to a U-shaped curve. The Spectral Causality test revealed the growth hypothesis regarding transport fossil fuel use and economic growth connection, which suggests that policymakers should be cautious while decreasing the usage of transport fossil fuels because it may hamper economic progress. These findings call for revisiting growth strategies and increasing green energy utilization in the transport sector to mitigate transport emissions.
实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)对于控制气候变化的不利影响和实现可持续发展非常重要。在 17 个 SDGs 中,目标 13 强调加强应对与气候相关变化的紧急行动。该目标还依赖于目标 7,该目标倡导增加获取廉价替代可持续能源的机会。为了实现这些目标,必须遏制交通 CO 排放(TCO),自 1990 年至 2019 年,交通 CO 排放增加了约 80%。因此,本研究考虑了交通化石燃料消耗(TTF)和道路基础设施(RF),评估了 1970 年至 2019 年美国交通可再生能源消耗(TRN)在 TCO 中的作用,目的是提出一些合适的缓解政策。此外,本研究还评估了交通环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)的存在,以评估交通增长的方向。本研究使用了 Bayer-Hanck 协整检验,该检验使用了四种不同的协整技术来决定协整,同时还使用了渐增转移因果检验,该检验考虑了时间序列数据中的结构转移和分数整合。动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS)检验的长期结果,该检验可解决内生性和序列相关性问题,结果表明,交通可再生能源的使用既减轻了 TCO 的影响,也促进了 TCO 的产生。然而,交通化石燃料的使用和道路基础设施的增加则加剧了 TCO。令人惊讶的是,美国的交通 EKC 是无效的,而且增长水平的提高对环境有害。TCO 与经济增长之间的关系类似于 U 形曲线。谱因果检验揭示了交通化石燃料使用与经济增长之间的增长假设关系,这表明政策制定者在减少交通化石燃料的使用时应谨慎行事,因为这可能会阻碍经济进步。这些发现呼吁重新审视增长战略,增加交通部门的绿色能源利用,以减轻交通排放。