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长江经济带县域预期寿命的时空模式与社会决定因素

Spatiotemporal patterns and social determinants of county life expectancy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.

作者信息

Dong Youming, Wang Mengcheng, Song Yaya, Yi Zeyu, Peng Jiulang, Mao Xiyan, Huang Xianjin

机构信息

School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.

Key Laboratory of Carbon Neutrality and Territorial Space Optimization, Ministry of Natural Resources, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2025 Apr 25;13:1521414. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1521414. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Revealing the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of population life expectancy (LE) and exploring the spatiotemporal heterogeneity in impacts of social determinants of health (SDOH) is a crucial foundation for the scientific allocation of regional public resources and the formulation and implementation of localized public health policies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study focused on 1,068 county-level units in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) of China, utilizing census data from 2000, 2010, and 2020 to uncover the spatiotemporal differentiation patterns of county-level LE. The Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model was employed to analyze the spatiotemporal heterogeneity in impacts of various SDOH on LE and the differences in effects among different types of county-level administrative divisions.

RESULTS

(1) From 2000 to 2020, the average LE in the counties of the YREB had gradually increased from 72.3 years to 81.3 years, with a spatial pattern of LE showing that the eastern region exceeded the central region, which exceeded the western region. (2) The high-high clusters were primarily concentrated in urban agglomerations, while low-low clusters were predominantly located in the western region of the YREB. (3) Overall, the gender ratio (GR) and family size (FS) negatively impacted LE, while the average years of education (AYE), the logarithm of per capita disposable income [PDI(ln)], per capita housing area (PHA), and healthcare professionals per 1,000 people (PHP) had positive effects. (4) The impact of different SDOH varied across space and time. Furthermore, the effects of different SDOH varied among different types of county-level administrative divisions.

CONCLUSION

These findings encourage local policymakers to focus on socioeconomic development at the county level, rationally allocate public resources, and formulate and implement localized public health policies in a tailored and orderly manner, thereby promoting spatial equity in population health.

摘要

背景

揭示人口预期寿命(LE)的时空分化特征,探索健康社会决定因素(SDOH)影响的时空异质性,是区域公共资源科学配置以及本地化公共卫生政策制定与实施的关键基础。

材料与方法

本研究聚焦于中国长江经济带(YREB)的1068个县级单位,利用2000年、2010年和2020年的人口普查数据,揭示县级LE的时空分化模式。采用地理加权回归(GTWR)模型分析各类SDOH对LE影响的时空异质性以及不同类型县级行政区划之间的效应差异。

结果

(1)2000年至2020年,YREB各县的平均LE从72.3岁逐渐增至81.3岁,LE的空间格局表现为东部地区超过中部地区,中部地区超过西部地区。(2)高高集聚主要集中在城市群,而低低集聚主要位于YREB的西部地区。(3)总体而言,性别比(GR)和家庭规模(FS)对LE有负面影响,而平均受教育年限(AYE)、人均可支配收入对数[PDI(ln)]、人均住房面积(PHA)和每千人医疗卫生专业人员数(PHP)有正面影响。(4)不同SDOH的影响随空间和时间而异。此外,不同SDOH的效应在不同类型的县级行政区划之间也有所不同。

结论

这些发现促使地方政策制定者关注县级社会经济发展,合理分配公共资源,有针对性且有序地制定和实施本地化公共卫生政策,从而促进人口健康的空间公平性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4de0/12062010/f2f94f7249de/fpubh-13-1521414-g001.jpg

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