淡水鱼灭绝的全球模式与驱动因素:我们能从损失中吸取教训吗?

Global Patterns and Drivers of Freshwater Fish Extinctions: Can We Learn From Our Losses?

作者信息

Vardakas Leonidas, Perdikaris Costas, Freyhof Jörg, Zimmerman Brian, Ford Matthew, Vlachopoulos Konstantinos, Koutsikos Nicholas, Karaouzas Ioannis, Chamoglou Maria, Kalogianni Eleni

机构信息

Hellenic Centre for Marine Research, Institute of Marine Biological Resources and Inland Waters, Attica, Greece.

Department of Fisheries, Regional Unit of Thesprotia, Region of Epirus, Igoumenitsa, Greece.

出版信息

Glob Chang Biol. 2025 May;31(5):e70244. doi: 10.1111/gcb.70244.

Abstract

Nearly one-third of extant freshwater fish species, which account for over 50% of global fish diversity, are at risk of extinction. Despite their crucial ecological and socioeconomic importance, the extinction of freshwater fishes remains under-researched on a global scale. This is a comprehensive assessment of taxonomic, spatial, and temporal patterns of freshwater fish extinctions while identifying key extinction drivers and driver synergies. Using data from the International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List, 89 extinct freshwater fish and 11 extinct in the wild were analyzed. Taxonomic statistical analysis revealed the disproportionate impact on Cyprinidae, Leuciscidae, and Salmonidae. Estimated globally for the period 1851-2016, the modern extinction rate for freshwater fishes stands at 33.47 extinctions per million species-years (E/MSY), more than 100 times greater than the natural background extinction rate of 0.33 E/MSY. Extinction rates, when calculated per continent using the number of extinct species and the total number of species per continent, indicated that North America has the highest extinction rate (225.60 E/MSY), followed by Europe (220.26 E/MSY) and Asia (34.62 E/MSY). Although Africa is less affected, it still shows a 42-fold increase over the background rate. Bayesian modeling, reflecting cumulative species extinctions, indicated a strong association of North America and Asia with species loss (37 and 34 extinctions, respectively), a moderate one for Europe (20 extinctions) and a weak association of Africa (eight extinctions). Natural system modification, pollution, and invasive species emerged as the primary extinction drivers, often acting synergistically. Temporal trends indicate an acceleration in extinctions since the mid-20th century. This study highlights that, despite recent increases in conservation efforts, freshwater fish extinctions continue to rise, indicating the urgent need for integrated conservation strategies. Without immediate action, many species currently at risk may soon follow the same trajectory of extinction as the 100 extinct freshwater fishes of this study.

摘要

现存近三分之一的淡水鱼物种面临灭绝风险,这些物种占全球鱼类多样性的50%以上。尽管淡水鱼具有至关重要的生态和社会经济意义,但在全球范围内,淡水鱼灭绝的研究仍不足。这是一项对淡水鱼灭绝的分类学、空间和时间模式进行的全面评估,同时确定关键的灭绝驱动因素和驱动因素协同效应。利用来自国际自然保护联盟红色名录的数据,分析了89种已灭绝的淡水鱼和11种野外灭绝的淡水鱼。分类学统计分析揭示了对鲤科、雅罗鱼科和鲑科的不成比例影响。据估计,在1851 - 2016年期间,全球淡水鱼的现代灭绝率为每百万物种年33.47次灭绝(E/MSY),比自然背景灭绝率0.33 E/MSY高出100多倍。当使用每个大陆的灭绝物种数量和物种总数来计算每个大陆的灭绝率时,结果表明北美洲的灭绝率最高(225.60 E/MSY),其次是欧洲(2,20.26 E/MSY)和亚洲(34.62 E/MSY)。尽管非洲受到的影响较小,但仍比背景率高出42倍。反映累积物种灭绝情况的贝叶斯模型表明,北美洲和亚洲与物种损失有很强的关联(分别为37次和34次灭绝),欧洲为中度关联(20次灭绝),非洲为弱关联(8次灭绝)。自然系统改变、污染和入侵物种成为主要的灭绝驱动因素,且往往协同作用。时间趋势表明,自20世纪中叶以来灭绝速度加快。这项研究强调,尽管最近保护力度有所加大,但淡水鱼灭绝仍在继续增加,这表明迫切需要综合保护策略。如果不立即采取行动,许多目前处于危险中的物种可能很快会走上与本研究中100种已灭绝淡水鱼相同的灭绝轨迹。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/326c/12087526/3dd9b6e77200/GCB-31-e70244-g007.jpg

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