Nicoletta Vittorio, Robitaille-Fortin Maxime, Bélanger Valérie, Mercier Éric, Harrisson Jessica
Department of Logistics and Operations Management, HEC Montréal, 3000 Côte-Sainte-Catherine Road, Montreal, QC, H3T 2A7, Canada.
Canadian Forest Service, Laurentian Forestry Centre, Natural Resources Canada, Quebec City, Canada.
Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med. 2025 May 21;33(1):94. doi: 10.1186/s13049-025-01410-6.
Accurate dispatch prioritization for emergency medical services (EMS) is essential for optimizing resource allocation and ensuring timely emergency response. In the Province of Quebec, Canada, a locally adapted dispatch system was implemented using the standardized codes of the Medical Priority Dispatch System (MPDS) but with regional priority definitions. Despite periodic reviews, the system's performance has not been formally assessed. This study evaluates the effectiveness of this prioritization system by comparing priority levels assigned at call-taking with on-scene paramedic assessments and by examining how the system's performance has evolved over three years and across chief complaints.
In this retrospective observational study, we analyzed EMS dispatches in the Capitale-Nationale administrative region of the Province of Quebec, Canada, between July 15 and December 15 over three consecutive years (2021, 2022, and 2023). We assessed system performance using sensitivity, specificity, overtriage, undertriage, predictive values, and accuracy. Statistical analyses included chi-square tests for priority consistency and pairwise t-tests for performance changes over time. Additionally, we examined variations across chief complaints to identify high overtriage and undertriage medical conditions.
This study analyzed 96,099 EMS dispatches over a three-year period. While 61.8% of these dispatches were classified as urgent at call-taking, paramedics later determined that 79.7% of all cases were stable and required non-urgent transport, indicating a high level of overtriage. Conditions such as abdominal pain, falls, and psychiatric issues were the chief complaints that showed high overtriage rates (> 90%), whereas allergic reactions, diabetic problems, and heart conditions had the highest undertriage rates (> 10%). Over the three-year period, priority modifications led to a 2.5% decrease in undertriage but a 3.7% increase in overtriage (p < 0.05), highlighting the ongoing challenge of balancing accuracy with an adequate response in dispatch prioritization.
The studied prioritization system effectively identifies non-urgent dispatches but exhibits a high overtriage rate, which strains EMS resources. The recent priority modifications further increased overtriage, underscoring the challenge of balancing resource allocation with timely intervention. Refining dispatch criteria and integrating secondary triage or AI-based decision support could potentially improve accuracy and system efficiency.
准确的紧急医疗服务(EMS)调度优先级对于优化资源分配和确保及时的应急响应至关重要。在加拿大魁北克省,采用了一种本地化的调度系统,该系统使用医疗优先调度系统(MPDS)的标准化代码,但有区域优先级定义。尽管进行了定期审查,但该系统的性能尚未得到正式评估。本研究通过比较接警时分配的优先级与现场护理人员的评估,并研究该系统在三年时间内以及不同主要投诉类型中的性能变化,来评估该优先级系统的有效性。
在这项回顾性观察研究中,我们分析了加拿大魁北克省首都地区在连续三年(2021年、2022年和2023年)7月15日至12月15日期间的EMS调度情况。我们使用敏感性、特异性、过度分诊、分诊不足、预测值和准确性来评估系统性能。统计分析包括用于优先级一致性的卡方检验和用于性能随时间变化的配对t检验。此外,我们检查了不同主要投诉类型之间的差异,以确定过度分诊和分诊不足较高的医疗状况。
本研究在三年期间分析了96,099次EMS调度。虽然这些调度中有61.8%在接警时被归类为紧急情况,但护理人员后来确定所有病例中有79.7%情况稳定,需要非紧急运输,这表明存在较高的过度分诊率。腹痛、跌倒和精神问题等情况是显示过度分诊率较高(>90%)的主要投诉类型,而过敏反应、糖尿病问题和心脏病的分诊不足率最高(>10%)。在三年期间,优先级调整导致分诊不足减少了2.5%,但过度分诊增加了3.7%(p<0.05),凸显了在调度优先级中平衡准确性与适当响应的持续挑战。
所研究的优先级系统有效地识别了非紧急调度,但表现出较高的过度分诊率,这给EMS资源带来了压力。最近的优先级调整进一步增加了过度分诊,强调了在资源分配与及时干预之间取得平衡的挑战。完善调度标准并整合二级分诊或基于人工智能的决策支持可能会提高准确性和系统效率。