Moutet Léo, Bigo Aurélien, Quirion Philippe, Temine Laura, Jean Kévin
Sante Publique. 2024;36(HS2):49-54. doi: 10.3917/spub.hs2.2024.0049.
Public policies aimed at carbon neutrality offer co-benefits beyond the climate, particularly in the field of public health. In the transport sector, decarbonization means shifting from carbon-intensive modes of transport to cycling. The physical activity generated by cycling over the next few years could therefore generate significant health and economic benefits.
A health impact assessment was carried out to quantify the benefits associated with cycling in France in 2030, according to the projections of the national low-carbon strategy. These estimates were compared with two scenarios in which French cycling practices correspond to those observed in other European countries, Denmark (2011 - 2013) and the Netherlands (2020).
In 2030, according to the National Low-Carbon Strategy (SNBC) scenario, the potential health benefits of cycling would prevent around 5,000 deaths [95% CI = 3,010; 6,521] more than in 2019. These impacts could double or even quadruple if the French reach the practices of their Danish and Dutch counterparts, offsetting the macroeconomic losses associated with climate policies.
Changing our lifestyles to reduce greenhouse gas emissions is an opportunity to improve human health and illustrates the convergence of climate and health issues.
旨在实现碳中和的公共政策带来了气候领域之外的共同效益,尤其是在公共卫生领域。在交通部门,脱碳意味着从碳密集型交通方式转向自行车出行。因此,未来几年骑自行车所产生的身体活动可能会带来显著的健康和经济效益。
根据国家低碳战略的预测,进行了一项健康影响评估,以量化2030年法国骑自行车带来的益处。这些估计值与两种情景进行了比较,在这两种情景中,法国的自行车使用情况与其他欧洲国家丹麦(2011 - 2013年)和荷兰(2020年)观察到的情况相对应。
到2030年,根据国家低碳战略(SNBC)情景,骑自行车带来的潜在健康益处将比2019年多预防约5000例死亡[95%置信区间 = 3010;6521]。如果法国人达到丹麦和荷兰同行的使用水平,这些影响可能会翻倍甚至四倍,抵消与气候政策相关的宏观经济损失。
改变我们的生活方式以减少温室气体排放是改善人类健康的一个机会,也说明了气候和健康问题的趋同性。