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用于预测多发性硬化症高严重程度症状的机器学习模型的性能

Performance of machine learning models for predicting high-severity symptoms in multiple sclerosis.

作者信息

Roy Subhrajit, Mincu Diana, Proleev Lev, Ghate Chintan, Graves Jennifer S, Steiner David F, Hartsell Fletcher Lee, Heller Katherine

机构信息

Google Research, London, UK.

Department of Neurosciences, University of California, San Diego, San Diego, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 25;15(1):18209. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-63888-x.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-63888-x
PMID:40414922
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12104369/
Abstract

Current care in multiple sclerosis (MS) primarily relies on infrequently obtained data such as magnetic resonance imaging, clinical laboratory tests or clinical history, resulting in subtle changes that may occur between visits being missed. Mobile technology enables continual collection of data and can pave the path for predicting complex aspects of MS such as symptoms and disease courses. To this end, we conducted a first-of-its-kind observational study called MS Mosaic. First, we developed and publicly launched a mobile app for collecting longitudinal data from MS subjects in the United States. Second, we ran the study across 3 years in order to capture complex patterns for this slow progressing disease. Finally, we retrospectively developed three classical ML methods and two deep learning models to accurately and continually predict the incidence of five high-severity symptoms (fatigue, sensory disturbance, walking instability, depression or anxiety and cramps/spasms) three months in advance.

摘要

目前,多发性硬化症(MS)的护理主要依赖于诸如磁共振成像、临床实验室检查或临床病史等不常获取的数据,这导致就诊期间可能出现的细微变化被遗漏。移动技术能够持续收集数据,并可为预测MS的复杂方面(如症状和病程)铺平道路。为此,我们开展了一项名为MS Mosaic的同类首创观察性研究。首先,我们开发并公开发布了一款移动应用程序,用于从美国的MS患者中收集纵向数据。其次,我们进行了为期3年的研究,以捕捉这种进展缓慢的疾病的复杂模式。最后,我们回顾性地开发了三种经典机器学习方法和两种深度学习模型,以提前三个月准确且持续地预测五种高严重程度症状(疲劳、感觉障碍、行走不稳、抑郁或焦虑以及抽筋/痉挛)的发生率。

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Performance of machine learning models for predicting high-severity symptoms in multiple sclerosis.用于预测多发性硬化症高严重程度症状的机器学习模型的性能
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本文引用的文献

1
The Department of Veterans Affairs Gulf War Veterans' Illnesses Biorepository: Supporting Research on Gulf War Veterans' Illnesses.退伍军人事务部海湾战争退伍军人疾病生物样本库:支持对海湾战争退伍军人疾病的研究。
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Developing a Digital Solution for Remote Assessment in Multiple Sclerosis: From Concept to Software as a Medical Device.开发用于多发性硬化症远程评估的数字解决方案:从概念到作为医疗设备的软件
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A smartphone sensor-based digital outcome assessment of multiple sclerosis.
基于智能手机传感器的多发性硬化症数字结局评估。
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Machine learning classifier to identify clinical and radiological features relevant to disability progression in multiple sclerosis.机器学习分类器,用于识别多发性硬化症中与残疾进展相关的临床和影像学特征。
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A review of deep learning applications for genomic selection.深度学习在基因组选择中的应用综述。
BMC Genomics. 2021 Jan 6;22(1):19. doi: 10.1186/s12864-020-07319-x.
7
Multiclass semantic segmentation and quantification of traumatic brain injury lesions on head CT using deep learning: an algorithm development and multicentre validation study.基于深度学习的头部 CT 外伤性脑损伤病灶的多类语义分割和定量:一项算法开发和多中心验证研究。
Lancet Digit Health. 2020 Jun;2(6):e314-e322. doi: 10.1016/S2589-7500(20)30085-6. Epub 2020 May 14.
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Prediction of disease progression and outcomes in multiple sclerosis with machine learning.基于机器学习的多发性硬化疾病进展和结局预测。
Sci Rep. 2020 Dec 3;10(1):21038. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-78212-6.
9
Deep learning in cancer pathology: a new generation of clinical biomarkers.深度学习在癌症病理学中的应用:新一代临床生物标志物。
Br J Cancer. 2021 Feb;124(4):686-696. doi: 10.1038/s41416-020-01122-x. Epub 2020 Nov 18.
10
Considering patient clinical history impacts performance of machine learning models in predicting course of multiple sclerosis.考虑到患者的临床病史会影响机器学习模型在预测多发性硬化症病程中的表现。
PLoS One. 2020 Mar 20;15(3):e0230219. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0230219. eCollection 2020.