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使用多模态数据对急性脊髓损伤进行预测建模的多算法与可解释人工智能技术研究。

Research on multi-algorithm and explainable AI techniques for predictive modeling of acute spinal cord injury using multimodal data.

作者信息

Tai Jiaojiao, Wang Linbang, Xie Yijun, Li Yang, Fu Hua, Ma Xiaowen, Li Haiyan, Li Xinying, Yan Ziqiang, Liu Jingkun

机构信息

Department of Orthopedics, Honghui Hospital, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710054, Shaanxi, China.

Department of Orthopedics, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, 100191, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 29;15(1):18832. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-93006-4.

Abstract

Machine learning technology has been extensively applied in the medical field, particularly in the context of disease prediction and patient rehabilitation assessment. Acute spinal cord injury (ASCI) is a sudden trauma that frequently results in severe neurological deficits and a significant decline in quality of life. Early prediction of neurological recovery is crucial for the personalized treatment planning. While extensively explored in other medical fields, this study is the first to apply multiple machine learning methods and Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis specifically to ASCI for predicting neurological recovery. A total of 387 ASCI patients were included, with clinical, imaging, and laboratory data collected. Key features were selected using univariate analysis, Lasso regression, and other feature selection techniques, integrating clinical, radiomics, and laboratory data. A range of machine learning models, including XGBoost, Logistic Regression, KNN, SVM, Decision Tree, Random Forest, LightGBM, ExtraTrees, Gradient Boosting, and Gaussian Naive Bayes, were evaluated, with Gaussian Naive Bayes exhibiting the best performance. Radiomics features extracted from T2-weighted fat-suppressed MRI scans, such as original_glszm_SizeZoneNonUniformity and wavelet-HLL_glcm_SumEntropy, significantly enhanced predictive accuracy. SHAP analysis identified critical clinical features, including IMLL, INR, BMI, Cys C, and RDW-CV, in the predictive model. The model was validated and demonstrated excellent performance across multiple metrics. The clinical utility and interpretability of the model were further enhanced through the application of patient clustering and nomogram analysis. This model has the potential to serve as a reliable tool for clinicians in the formulation of personalized treatment plans and prognosis assessment.

摘要

机器学习技术已在医学领域得到广泛应用,尤其是在疾病预测和患者康复评估方面。急性脊髓损伤(ASCI)是一种突发性创伤,常导致严重的神经功能缺损和生活质量显著下降。神经功能恢复的早期预测对于个性化治疗计划至关重要。虽然在其他医学领域已进行了广泛探索,但本研究首次将多种机器学习方法和Shapley值相加解释(SHAP)分析专门应用于ASCI,以预测神经功能恢复。共纳入387例ASCI患者,收集了临床、影像和实验室数据。使用单变量分析、Lasso回归和其他特征选择技术选择关键特征,整合临床、影像组学和实验室数据。评估了一系列机器学习模型,包括XGBoost、逻辑回归、K近邻、支持向量机、决策树、随机森林、LightGBM、极端随机树、梯度提升和高斯朴素贝叶斯,其中高斯朴素贝叶斯表现最佳。从T2加权脂肪抑制MRI扫描中提取的影像组学特征,如original_glszm_SizeZoneNonUniformity和wavelet-HLL_glcm_SumEntropy,显著提高了预测准确性。SHAP分析确定了预测模型中的关键临床特征,包括IMLL、INR、BMI、胱抑素C和RDW-CV。该模型经过验证,在多个指标上表现出色。通过应用患者聚类和列线图分析,进一步提高了模型的临床实用性和可解释性。该模型有可能成为临床医生制定个性化治疗计划和预后评估的可靠工具。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7d58/12122863/69f4c65b3e21/41598_2025_93006_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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