Shi Haolin, Fang Yangyi, Ma Xiuhua
Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Capital Medical University Daxing Teaching Hospital, No. 26 Huangcun West Street, Daxing District, 102600, Beijing, China.
J Health Popul Nutr. 2025 May 29;44(1):180. doi: 10.1186/s41043-025-00941-z.
Life's Essential 8 (LE8) for assessing cardiovascular health (CVH) has been demonstrated to be inversely associated with osteoporosis (OP). This study aims to create a machine learning (ML) model to assess the clinical association value of lifestyle and behavioral factors, assessed by LE8, on OP risk in the United States.
This cross-sectional analysis utilized data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), encompassing participants aged ≧ 50 with comprehensive LE8 and OP information. Initially, the study compared the characteristics of participants with OP against those with normal bone health. Linear and nonlinear associations of LE8 and OP were analyzed by multifactor logistic regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS). Subsequently, LE8 features were integrated into six distinct ML models for OP analysis. Evaluate model performance using relevant metrics and curves. The best-performing model was further analyzed using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to rank and clarify the positives and negatives of the contribution of individual LE8 components.
Among 3,902 participants, 364 (9.33%) were identified as having OP. Conventional regression showed that health behaviors (HB) and health factors (HF) in LE8 were negatively and positively correlated with OP, respectively, and that total LE8 was nonlinearly associated with OP. Through comparison of the Area Under the Curve (AUC), Accuracy, F1-Score, Precision, Recall, Specificity, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC), Decision Curve Analysis (DCA), and Calibration Curve Analysis (CCA), the optimal performance achieved by the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) model incorporating the 20 features. SHAP analysis revealed that the contributions of LE8 components were ranked as follows: Body Mass Index (BMI) > sleep health > blood glucose > nicotine exposure > blood lipids > blood pressure > Healthy Eating Index-2015 (HEI-2015) > physical activity. Where sleep health, blood lipids, and HEI-2015 were the main negative contributors to OP, BMI was the main positive contributor.
The integration of LE8 with a LightGBM model offers a promising strategy for analysing OP in the American population, underscoring the potential of ML approaches in enhancing clinical assessments.
用于评估心血管健康(CVH)的生命基本8要素(LE8)已被证明与骨质疏松症(OP)呈负相关。本研究旨在创建一种机器学习(ML)模型,以评估在美国通过LE8评估的生活方式和行为因素对OP风险的临床关联价值。
这项横断面分析利用了来自美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)的数据,纳入了年龄≥50岁且拥有完整LE8和OP信息的参与者。最初,该研究比较了患有OP的参与者与骨骼健康正常的参与者的特征。通过多因素逻辑回归和受限立方样条(RCS)分析LE8与OP的线性和非线性关联。随后,将LE8特征整合到六个不同的ML模型中进行OP分析。使用相关指标和曲线评估模型性能。使用SHapley加法解释(SHAP)对表现最佳的模型进行进一步分析,以对各个LE8组件贡献的正负性进行排名和阐释。
在3902名参与者中,364名(9.33%)被确定患有OP。传统回归分析表明,LE8中的健康行为(HB)和健康因素(HF)分别与OP呈负相关和正相关,并且总LE8与OP呈非线性关联。通过比较曲线下面积(AUC)、准确率、F1分数、精确率、召回率、特异性、受试者工作特征(ROC)、决策曲线分析(DCA)和校准曲线分析(CCA)发现,包含20个特征的轻梯度提升机(LightGBM)模型实现了最佳性能。SHAP分析显示,LE8组件的贡献排名如下:体重指数(BMI)>睡眠健康>血糖>尼古丁暴露>血脂>血压>2015年健康饮食指数(HEI-2015)>身体活动。其中睡眠健康、血脂和HEI-2015是OP的主要负性贡献因素,BMI是主要正性贡献因素。
将LE8与LightGBM模型相结合为分析美国人群中的OP提供了一种有前景的策略,突出了ML方法在加强临床评估方面的潜力。