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尽管巴西历史上遭遇干旱,但腹泻住院人数急剧下降:当地供水和公共卫生措施的潜在作用。

Sharp decline of diarrhea hospitalizations despite historical drought in Brazil: The potential role of local water supply and public health measures.

作者信息

Costa Alexandre Cunha, Cavalcante Tahissa Frota, de Oliveira Andressa Suelly Saturnino, Lima Neto Iran Eduardo, Ribeiro Neto Germano Gondim, van Oel Pieter Richard, Moreira Rafaella Pessoa

机构信息

Water Resources Management Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Droevendaalsesteeg 3, 6708 PB Wageningen, Netherlands.

Institute of Engineering and Sustainable Development, University of International Integration of the Afro-Brazilian Lusophony, Av. José Franco de Oliveira, s/n - CE 060, Redenção - CE 62790-000, Brazil E-mail:

出版信息

J Water Health. 2025 Jun;23(6):743-756. doi: 10.2166/wh.2025.392. Epub 2025 May 21.

Abstract

Severe droughts (SDs) present a risk to public health, particularly in terms of the proliferation of waterborne diseases, such as diarrhea. Because of climate change, the frequency of SDs is likely to increase, potentially straining traditional water supply systems. An 11-year period of SDs in Northeast Brazil, which commenced in 2012, reduced the capacity of 153 drinking water reservoirs to a mere 6.7%, with 86% of water bodies exhibiting eutrophic characteristics. During this period, several water supply and public health measures were implemented. Those measures were associated with a reduction in the incidence of diarrhea hospitalizations during the entire SD period, with an average annual reduction of -4.9%. This assessment identifies potential adaptive measures to mitigate the impact of climate change on water-related human health, thus supporting the implementation of measures to protect against climate risks to public health.

摘要

严重干旱对公众健康构成风险,尤其是在水源性疾病(如腹泻)的传播方面。由于气候变化,严重干旱的频率可能会增加,这可能会给传统供水系统带来压力。巴西东北部自2012年开始的为期11年的严重干旱期,使153个饮用水水库的蓄水量降至仅6.7%,86%的水体呈现富营养化特征。在此期间,实施了多项供水和公共卫生措施。这些措施与整个严重干旱期腹泻住院率的降低有关,平均每年降低-4.9%。本评估确定了潜在的适应性措施,以减轻气候变化对与水相关的人类健康的影响,从而支持实施防范公共卫生气候风险的措施。

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