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1990 - 2021年204个国家和地区泌尿生殖系统癌症的全球、区域和国家负担:全球疾病负担研究2021的系统分析

Global, regional, and national burden of genitourinary cancers in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021.

作者信息

Zhang Zhiyong, Xie Yingwei, Liu Lei, Wang Yongtao, Li Shuang, Chen Li, Zeng Xiangbo, Zhu Yuanchao, Zhang Yishan, Xiao Yongyuan, Zhao Fengjin, Xu Bihong, Liu Xiaocen, Guo Wenbin, Wang Ganping, Xie Wenlian, Tan Wanlong, Ping Hao, Zheng Zaosong

机构信息

Department of Urology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Department of Urology, Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

J Natl Cancer Cent. 2025 May 3;5(3):330-345. doi: 10.1016/j.jncc.2025.03.001. eCollection 2025 Jun.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Genitourinary cancers constitute a significant portion of the global cancer burden and have emerged as a prominent cause of cancer-related mortality. However, there remains a paucity of up-to-date statistical analyses that meticulously examine the global and national shifts in the epidemiology of genitourinary cancers. Our study aimed to provide a comprehensive understanding of the global distribution and progression of genitourinary cancers through analyses of the recently updated 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database.

METHODS

This study presented the incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and their respective age-standardized rates for four genitourinary cancers (bladder, kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers) by sex, age, and location from 1990 to 2021. Estimates for these data were presented with their 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) and Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) models were utilized to further quantify the temporal dynamics of age-standardized rates (ASRs) in genitourinary cancers. Countries and territories were categorized according to socio-demographic index (SDI) quintiles.

RESULTS

Globally, with the exception of a sustained decline in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) for bladder cancer (EAPC = -0.36%), the ASIRs for kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers demonstrated an upward trend from 1990 to 2021 (EAPC = 0.53%, 0.20%, and 1.43%, respectively). In terms of geographical regions, High-income North America had the highest ASIRs for both bladder (13.98 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 12.96 to 14.61]) and prostate (47.02 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 44.47 to 49.04]) cancers. Southern Latin America recorded the highest ASIRs for kidney (13.44 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 12.27 to 14.73]) and testicular (4.98 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 4.33 to 5.72]) cancers. Additionally, Central Europe (1.25% [95% CI, 1.12% to 1.38%]), East Asia (2.40% [95% CI, 2.21% to 2.59%]), Eastern Europe (3.74% [95% CI, 3.55% to 3.92%]), and the Caribbean (5.52% [95% CI, 4.32% to 6.74%]) exhibited the highest EAPCs for bladder, kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers, respectively. Unlike the ASIRs, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and age-standardized DALYs rates (ASDRs) showed a downward trend over time in all types of genitourinary cancers. The disease burdens of bladder, kidney, and prostate cancers were primarily distributed among older men, while testicular cancer mainly occurred in young men. Smoking remained the primary risk factor for bladder cancer. Meanwhile, high fasting plasma glucose and high body-mass index exerted increasingly significant impacts on bladder and kidney cancers, respectively, during the study period. Projections to 2050 suggest that the global burdens of genitourinary cancers are expected to decline to varying degrees. However, regional disparities in genitourinary cancer burdens are projected to persist.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the results demonstrate a marginal decline in ASRs caused by genitourinary cancers, they still impose a considerable global burden and result in numerous deaths. Our study obtained and analyzed the latest epidemiological data of genitourinary cancers from the GBD 2021, offering valuable information for national healthcare professionals and policymakers to optimize resource allocation, manage costs more efficiently, and develop practical healthcare policies.

摘要

背景

泌尿生殖系统癌症在全球癌症负担中占很大比例,已成为癌症相关死亡的一个主要原因。然而,目前仍缺乏对泌尿生殖系统癌症流行病学的全球和国家层面变化进行细致研究的最新统计分析。我们的研究旨在通过分析最近更新的2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)数据库,全面了解泌尿生殖系统癌症的全球分布及发展情况。

方法

本研究呈现了1990年至2021年期间,按性别、年龄和地区划分的四种泌尿生殖系统癌症(膀胱癌、肾癌、前列腺癌和睾丸癌)的发病率、死亡率、伤残调整生命年(DALYs)及其各自的年龄标准化率。这些数据的估计值均给出了95%的不确定性区间(UIs)。采用估计年度百分比变化(EAPCs)和贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)模型,进一步量化泌尿生殖系统癌症年龄标准化率(ASRs)的时间动态变化。国家和地区根据社会人口指数(SDI)五分位数进行分类。

结果

在全球范围内,除膀胱癌的年龄标准化发病率(ASIRs)持续下降(EAPC = -0.36%)外,1990年至2021年期间,肾癌、前列腺癌和睾丸癌的ASIRs呈上升趋势(EAPC分别为0.53%、0.20%和1.43%)。在地理区域方面,高收入的北美地区膀胱癌(每10万人中13.98例[95% UI,12.96至14.61])和前列腺癌(每10万人中47.02例[95% UI,44.47至49.04])的ASIRs最高。拉丁美洲南部地区肾癌(每10万人中13.44例[95% UI,12.27至14.73])和睾丸癌(每10万人中4.98例[95% UI,4.33至5.72])的ASIRs最高。此外,中欧(EAPC = 1.25% [95% CI,1.12%至1.38%])、东亚(EAPC = 2.40% [95% CI,2.21%至2.59%])、东欧(EAPC = 3.74% [95% CI, 3.55%至3.92%])和加勒比地区(EAPC = 5.52% [95% CI,4.32%至6.74%])的膀胱癌、肾癌、前列腺癌和睾丸癌的EAPC分别最高。与ASIRs不同,所有类型泌尿生殖系统癌症的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMRs)和年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率(ASDRs)随时间呈下降趋势。膀胱癌、肾癌和前列腺癌的疾病负担主要分布在老年男性中,而睾丸癌主要发生在年轻男性中。吸烟仍然是膀胱癌的主要危险因素。同时,在研究期间,高空腹血糖和高体重指数分别对膀胱癌和肾癌产生了越来越显著的影响。到2050年的预测表明,泌尿生殖系统癌症的全球负担预计将不同程度下降。然而,预计泌尿生殖系统癌症负担的地区差异仍将持续。

结论

尽管结果显示泌尿生殖系统癌症导致的ASRs略有下降,但它们仍然给全球带来了相当大的负担,并导致大量死亡。我们的研究获取并分析了GBD 2021中泌尿生殖系统癌症的最新流行病学数据,为国家医疗保健专业人员和政策制定者优化资源分配、更有效地管理成本以及制定切实可行的医疗政策提供了有价值的信息。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/062a/12276558/f05c24b4c1fb/gr1.jpg

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