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利用优化的最大熵模型和关键环境驱动因素评估中国(L.)Cass.的适宜生境

Assessing Suitable Habitats for (L.)Cass. in China Using an Optimized MaxEnt Model and Key Environmental Drivers.

作者信息

Xue Juan, Liu Longjiang, Li Yan, Zhang Yan, Liang Shanshan, Chai Huifang

机构信息

School of Pharmacy, Guizhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guiyang 550025, China.

出版信息

Biology (Basel). 2025 Jun 26;14(7):769. doi: 10.3390/biology14070769.

Abstract

(L.)Cass. is an important ethnomedicinal plant. Wild populations are steadily declining, however, posing a risk of failure to meet future market demand. Investigating suitable habitats for this plant and key influencing factors is crucial for its artificial cultivation. In this study, we implemented an optimized MaxEnt to project suitable habitats for the target species in five different periods and explored the impact of different environmental variables on its distribution. Our study findings provide confirmation of the following: (1) The current and future potential distributions of are primarily located in the areas south of the Qinling-Huaihe boundary in China, with future expansions expected to shift northward and westward. (2) Notably, there was a contraction in the junction regions of the provinces of Jiangxi, Anhui, Hunan, and Hubei. (3) The number of highly suitable habitats in Fujian, Guangdong, Yunnan, and Guangxi is expanding; in comparison, the number in Guizhou, Sichuan, and Hainan is declining. (4) The primary environmental determinants shaping its range, together with the threshold values for highly suitable habitats, are the minimum temperature of the coldest month (bio6, 0.88-22.58 °C) and the temperature seasonality (bio4, 461.54-763.9). The findings presented in this work provide support for the artificial cultivation and conservation of this plant.

摘要

(L.)Cass.是一种重要的民族药用植物。然而,野生种群数量正在稳步下降,这有可能无法满足未来的市场需求。研究这种植物的适宜栖息地和关键影响因素对其人工种植至关重要。在本研究中,我们运用优化后的最大熵模型预测目标物种在五个不同时期的适宜栖息地,并探讨不同环境变量对其分布的影响。我们的研究结果证实了以下几点:(1)(L.)Cass.目前和未来的潜在分布主要位于中国秦岭 - 淮河分界线以南地区,预计未来分布范围将向北和向西扩展。(2)值得注意的是,江西、安徽、湖南和湖北四省交界处的分布范围出现了收缩。(3)福建、广东、云南和广西高度适宜栖息地的数量在增加;相比之下,贵州、四川和海南的数量在减少。(4)影响其分布范围的主要环境决定因素以及高度适宜栖息地的阈值是最冷月最低温度(生物气候变量6,0.88 - 22.58℃)和温度季节性变化(生物气候变量4,461.54 - 763.9)。本研究结果为该植物的人工种植和保护提供了支持。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/35ea/12292698/540aa3b64082/biology-14-00769-g001.jpg

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