Park Kyung-Il, Shin Youmin, Hwang Sungeun, Kim Yong-Jeong, Lee Seung-Bo, Son Hyoshin, Moon Jangsup, Lee Soon-Tae, Jung Keun-Hwa, Chu Kon, Jung Ki-Young, Kim Young-Gon, Lee Sang Kun
Department of Neurology, Seoul National University Hospital Healthcare System Gangnam Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Department of Neurology, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Sci Rep. 2025 Sep 26;15(1):33177. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-16881-x.
Despite the increasing number of available antiseizure medications (ASMs), optimal medical therapy is still a process of trial and error. We aimed to predict the responsiveness of various ASMs based on initial tests using artificial intelligence. The study consisted of 2586 patients fulfilling the following criteria: (1) first visit to the epileptologists from 2008 to 2017, (2) a diagnosis of epilepsy, and 3) ≥ three years of follow-up duration. The clinical characteristics, ASM history, seizure frequency, laboratory, EEG, and MRI results, were collected. Machine algorithms were utilized to predict the responsiveness of specific regimens. Valproate showed the highest area under curve (AUC), 0.636. The AUCs of levetiracetam, oxcarbazepine, and lamotrigine were 0.614, 0.633, and 0.674. The AUCs of common dual regimens were 0.543 for levetiracetam + oxcarbazepine, 0.454 for levetiracetam + valproate, and 0.583 for levetiracetam + lamotrigine. Levetiracetam + carbamazepine showed the highest AUC, 0.686. In Shapley Additive exPlanations analysis, seizure type significantly impacted prediction performance for valproate responsiveness, and onset age and disease duration for lamotrigine. The prediction performances for the response based on initial data differ according to ASMs. An enormous dataset from a multicenter would improve the prediction power of ASM responsiveness in the future.
尽管可用的抗癫痫药物(ASM)数量不断增加,但最佳药物治疗仍然是一个反复试验的过程。我们旨在基于人工智能的初始测试来预测各种ASM的反应性。该研究包括2586名符合以下标准的患者:(1)2008年至2017年首次就诊于癫痫专家;(2)诊断为癫痫;(3)随访时间≥3年。收集了临床特征、ASM用药史、癫痫发作频率、实验室检查、脑电图和磁共振成像结果。利用机器学习算法预测特定治疗方案的反应性。丙戊酸盐的曲线下面积(AUC)最高,为0.636。左乙拉西坦、奥卡西平和拉莫三嗪的AUC分别为0.614、0.633和0.674。常见联合治疗方案的AUC:左乙拉西坦+奥卡西平为0.543,左乙拉西坦+丙戊酸盐为0.454,左乙拉西坦+拉莫三嗪为0.583。左乙拉西坦+卡马西平的AUC最高,为0.686。在夏普利值分析中,癫痫发作类型对丙戊酸盐反应性的预测性能有显著影响,而发病年龄和病程对拉莫三嗪的预测性能有显著影响。基于初始数据的反应预测性能因ASM而异。来自多中心的大量数据集将在未来提高ASM反应性的预测能力。