Okada M, Yao T, Fuchigami T, Imamura K, Omae T
Gut. 1984 Aug;25(8):881-5. doi: 10.1136/gut.25.8.881.
A multiple linear regression analysis was carried out on 75 inpatients with gastric ulcer. In order to elucidate the effects of various factors - endoscopic and roentgenological findings, age, sex, medical history, and drugs such as antacids, anticholinergics or both - on the healing rate, these factors were compared between those with ulcer which healed within eight weeks after treatment and those which did not. In patients over 50 years of age, alcohol consumption of over 60 g per day until admission, duration of present ulcer pain for over three months, single ulcer, ulcer located in the lesser curvature and uneven elevation around the ulcer, there was significant delaying effect on ulcer healing. Drug ingestion, sex, smoking habits until admission, size, depth, and shape of ulcer, coexisting gastritis, and past and family history of ulcer disease had no significant effect on healing after eight weeks. The patients with less than two unfavourable factors (n = 46) had the best healing rate (100%) compared with those with three (n = 20) or four or more (n = 9) unfavourable factors. The healing rate of the latter two groups was 60% and 22%, respectively (p less than 0.001). A prognostic score based on these six factors represents the severity of gastric ulcer disease with regard to the healing rate in patients prescribed antacids, and/or anticholinergic drugs.
对75例胃溃疡住院患者进行了多元线性回归分析。为了阐明各种因素——内镜和放射学检查结果、年龄、性别、病史以及抗酸剂、抗胆碱能药物或两者等药物——对愈合率的影响,对治疗后8周内溃疡愈合的患者和未愈合的患者的这些因素进行了比较。在50岁以上的患者中,入院前每天饮酒超过60克、当前溃疡疼痛持续超过3个月、单发溃疡、溃疡位于小弯侧以及溃疡周围隆起不平,对溃疡愈合有显著的延迟作用。药物摄入、性别、入院前吸烟习惯、溃疡大小、深度和形状、并存的胃炎以及溃疡病的既往史和家族史对8周后的愈合没有显著影响。与有三个(n = 20)或四个及以上(n = 9)不利因素的患者相比,有少于两个不利因素(n = 46)的患者愈合率最高(100%)。后两组的愈合率分别为60%和22%(p < 0.001)。基于这六个因素的预后评分代表了在开具抗酸剂和/或抗胆碱能药物的患者中,胃溃疡疾病在愈合率方面的严重程度。