Fergusson D M, Horwood L J
N Z Med J. 1984 Nov 14;97(767):777-9.
A method for estimating the risks of drowning in fenced and unfenced domestic swimming pools is presented. Application of this method suggests that the probability of drowning occurring in an unfenced pool is between two to five times higher than that of a fenced pool. It is also estimated that the introduction of pool fencing would reduce the number of drownings in domestic swimming pools by 40% to 67%.
本文提出了一种估算有围栏和无围栏家庭游泳池溺水风险的方法。该方法的应用表明，无围栏游泳池发生溺水的概率比有围栏游泳池高出两到五倍。据估计，安装泳池围栏可使家庭游泳池溺水事故数量减少40%至67%。
