对1951年至1980年间英格兰和威尔士癌症死亡率趋势进行分析，区分与出生时期和死亡时期相关的变化。
Analysis of trends in cancer mortality in England and Wales during 1951-80 separating changes associated with period of birth and period of death.
作者信息
Osmond C, Gardner M J, Acheson E D
出版信息
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1982 Apr 3;284(6321):1005-8. doi: 10.1136/bmj.284.6321.1005.
Abstract
Cancer mortality rates in England and Wales were analysed so to describe simultaneously changes affecting successive generations--that is, associated with period of birth--as well as changes associated with the period of which the deaths took place. When mortality from all cancers was considered the analysis implied that, contrary to a widely held view, the rate of death from cancer had been declining in each sex in successive generations. For men the decline had occurred in generations born since 1900, whereas for women the peak came in the 1925 birth group. On the other hand, there had been little decline in the rates associated with period of death. Five examples of cancers of specific organs for which the trends contrasted are shown.
摘要
对英格兰和威尔士的癌症死亡率进行了分析，以便同时描述影响连续几代人的变化——即与出生时期相关的变化——以及与死亡时期相关的变化。当考虑所有癌症的死亡率时，分析表明，与广泛持有的观点相反，连续几代人中，每种性别的癌症死亡率一直在下降。对于男性来说，自1900年以后出生的几代人出现了下降，而对于女性来说，峰值出现在1925年出生组。另一方面，与死亡时期相关的比率几乎没有下降。给出了特定器官癌症的五个趋势形成对比的例子。
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