Beaglehole R, Foulkes M A, Prior I A, Eyles E F
Br Med J. 1980 Feb 2;280(6210):285-7. doi: 10.1136/bmj.280.6210.285.
The relation between serum cholesterol concentration and mortality was studied prospectively over 11 years in 630 New Zealand Maoris aged 25-74. Serum cholesterol concentration was measured at initial examination in 1962-3 in 94% of the subjects and whether each was dead or alive was determined in 1974. The causes of death were divided into three categories: cancer, cardiovascular disease, and "other." The Mantel-Haenszel method of analysis of survivorship data showed a significant inverse relation between serum cholesterol concentration and overall mortality in men (x 2/2 = 11.6; p = 0.003) and women (x 2/2 = 7.6; p = 0.02) with odds ratios of 2.3 and 1.9 respectively. Similar significant inverse relations were found for cancer and "other" causes of death. These relations remained significant when baseline age, systolic blood pressure, and the Quetelt index were controlled in Cox's proportional hazards regression model. The results of this study provide evidence for a potentially deleterious effect of low serum cholesterol concentration. Hence, further research is needed before indiscriminate efforts are made to lower serum cholesterol concentrations in New Zealand Maoris.
对630名年龄在25至74岁之间的新西兰毛利人进行了为期11年的前瞻性研究,以探讨血清胆固醇浓度与死亡率之间的关系。1962 - 1963年首次检查时,94%的受试者测量了血清胆固醇浓度,并于1974年确定了每个人的生死状况。死亡原因分为三类:癌症、心血管疾病和“其他”。Mantel-Haenszel生存数据分析方法显示,男性(x²/2 = 11.6;p = 0.003)和女性(x²/2 = 7.6;p = 0.02)的血清胆固醇浓度与总死亡率之间存在显著的负相关,优势比分别为2.3和1.9。在癌症和“其他”死亡原因方面也发现了类似的显著负相关。在Cox比例风险回归模型中控制基线年龄、收缩压和克托莱指数后,这些关系仍然显著。本研究结果为低血清胆固醇浓度可能产生的有害影响提供了证据。因此,在不加区分地努力降低新西兰毛利人的血清胆固醇浓度之前,还需要进一步研究。