Rogot E, Murray J L
Public Health Rep. 1980 May-Jun;95(3):213-22.
In a 16-year mortality followup of some 293,000 insured U.S. veterans, specific causes of death were studied in relation to smoking status. The main results confirmed earlier findings.Mortality ratios for cigarette smokers as compared with nonsmokers were 1.73 for all causes of death, 1.58 for all cardiovascular diseases, 2.12 for all cancers, and 4.31 for all respiratory diseases. The highest ratios (those greater than 5.0) were observed for cor pulmonale, aortic aneurysm, emphysema and bronchitis, cancer of the pharynx, cancer of the esophagus, cancer of the larynx, and cancer of the lung and bronchus. The greatest excess in deaths in terms of observed numbers minus expected was found for the cardiovascular diseases, in particular for coronary heart disease.Mortality ratios for ex-cigarette smokers who had stopped smoking for reasons other than physicians' orders were much lower compared with nonsmokers than the mortality ratios for current cigarette smokers: 1.21 for all causes, 1.15 for all cardiovascular diseases, 1.39 for all cancers, and 2.08 for all respiratory diseases. For most causes of death, the mortality ratios for ex-cigarette smokers who had stopped smoking for reasons other than physicians' orders varied inversely with the number of years of cessation. For some diseases, the mortality risk for the ex-cigarette smoker returned to normal almost immediately after the cessation of smoking, whereas for others, the return to normal was more gradual. The first group included stroke and the combined category of influenza and pneumonia; the second group included cardiovascular diseases as a whole and coronary heart disease. For still other diseases, although the mortality ratio declined with the length of time smoking was discontinued, substantial excess risks remained even after 20 years of cessation. In this third group were aortic aneurysm, bronchitis and emphysema, and lung cancer-diseases with very high mortality ratios for current cigarette smokers. Parkinson's disease remained the one disease that clearly exhibited a negative association with cigarette smoking.
在对约29.3万名参保美国退伍军人进行的16年死亡率随访中,研究了特定死因与吸烟状况的关系。主要结果证实了早期研究结果。与不吸烟者相比,吸烟者的全因死亡率比为1.73,所有心血管疾病的死亡率比为1.58,所有癌症的死亡率比为2.12,所有呼吸系统疾病的死亡率比为4.31。肺心病、主动脉瘤、肺气肿和支气管炎、咽癌、食管癌、喉癌以及肺癌和支气管癌的死亡率比最高(大于5.0)。就观察到的死亡人数减去预期死亡人数而言,心血管疾病的死亡超额数最大,尤其是冠心病。因非医嘱原因戒烟的 former 吸烟者的死亡率比与不吸烟者相比,远低于当前吸烟者的死亡率比:全因死亡率比为1.21,所有心血管疾病的死亡率比为1.15,所有癌症的死亡率比为1.39,所有呼吸系统疾病的死亡率比为2.08。对于大多数死因,因非医嘱原因戒烟的 former 吸烟者的死亡率比与戒烟年限呈反比。对于某些疾病,former 吸烟者戒烟后死亡风险几乎立即恢复正常,而对于其他疾病,恢复正常则较为缓慢。第一组包括中风以及流感和肺炎的综合类别;第二组包括整个心血管疾病和冠心病。对于其他一些疾病,尽管死亡率比随着戒烟时间的延长而下降,但即使在戒烟20年后仍存在大量超额风险。第三组包括主动脉瘤、支气管炎和肺气肿以及肺癌,这些疾病在当前吸烟者中的死亡率比非常高。帕金森病仍然是唯一一种与吸烟明显呈负相关的疾病。