Goldsmith D F, Smith A H, McMichael A J
J Occup Med. 1980 Aug;22(8):533-41. doi: 10.1097/00043764-198008000-00010.
A matched case-control study was conducted to test the hypothesis that prostate cancer is associated with employment in the compounding area of a rubber and tire manufacturing plant. A search of death certificates from the years 1964 to 1975 led to the identification of 88 cases of prostate cancer. These were individually matched with 258 controls on the factors of age, race, and date of entry into the plant. To eliminate possible confounding by sociodemographic differences, several variables were assessed but none differed significantly between cases and controls. The batch preparation work area showed statistically significant (p < 0.025) risk ratios over three exposure periods -- more than one month, more than 24 months, and more than 60 months. The service to batch preparation and shipping and receiving work areas showed significant risks for blacks. The data were used to assess a latent period or etilogic fraction for prostate cancer for those employed in batch preparation. Twenty-nine years was estimated to be the latent period while the period of greatest risk occurred during the years 1940 to 1947.
开展了一项配对病例对照研究,以检验前列腺癌与在橡胶和轮胎制造工厂的配料区工作有关这一假设。检索1964年至1975年的死亡证明后,确定了88例前列腺癌病例。这些病例在年龄、种族和入职日期等因素上与258名对照进行了个体匹配。为消除社会人口统计学差异可能造成的混杂影响,评估了多个变量,但病例组和对照组之间没有显著差异。在三个暴露期(超过1个月、超过24个月和超过60个月),配料准备工作区的风险比具有统计学意义(p < 0.025)。为配料准备以及装卸和接收工作区提供服务对黑人显示出显著风险。这些数据用于评估从事配料准备工作的人员患前列腺癌的潜伏期或病因分数。估计潜伏期为29年,而风险最高的时期发生在1940年至1947年。