Hatch D L, Waldman R J, Lungu G W, Piri C
International Health Program Office, Centers for Disease Control, CDC/EPO/DFE/International Branch, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA.
Int J Epidemiol. 1994 Dec;23(6):1292-9. doi: 10.1093/ije/23.6.1292.
In June 1988 a cholera epidemic occurred in a Mozambican refugee population resettling in southern Malawi.
A case-control study was conducted to determine possible risk factors for disease. The characteristics of 48 refugee households with any member(s) hospitalized for suspected cholera were compared to 441 randomly sampled refugee households without hospitalizations.
Vibrio cholerae 01 was isolated from 50% (5/10) of case-patient stool cultures. Having any water containers with > or = 10 T capacity was associated with a significantly lower odds of suspected cholera in households (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 0.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] : 0.003-0.12), as was having metal cooking pots (aOR = 0.3, 95% CI : 0.12-0.7), after adjusting for length of residence and socioeconomic status (logistic regression model). Households with two or more children < 5 years old were at markedly increased odds of suspected cholera (P < 0.0001). These results suggest that water containers and cooking pots served important preventive functions during this cholera outbreak. Young children may have contributed to cholera transmission, but the reason(s) remains undetermined.
1988年6月,在马拉维南部重新安置的莫桑比克难民群体中发生了霍乱疫情。
开展了一项病例对照研究以确定疾病可能的危险因素。将48户有成员因疑似霍乱住院的难民家庭的特征与441户随机抽取的无住院情况的难民家庭进行比较。
从50%(5/10)的病例患者粪便培养物中分离出霍乱弧菌O1。在调整居住时长和社会经济地位后(逻辑回归模型),拥有任何容量≥10升的储水容器的家庭发生疑似霍乱的几率显著降低(调整后的优势比[aOR]=0.02,95%置信区间[CI]:0.003 - 0.12),拥有金属炊具的家庭也是如此(aOR = 0.3,95% CI:0.12 - 0.7)。有两个或更多5岁以下儿童的家庭发生疑似霍乱的几率显著增加(P < 0.0001)。这些结果表明,储水容器和炊具在此次霍乱疫情期间发挥了重要的预防作用。幼儿可能促成了霍乱传播,但其原因尚不确定。