Malilay J, Flanders W D, Brogan D
Disaster Assessment and Epidemiology Section, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30341-3724, USA.
Bull World Health Organ. 1996;74(4):399-405.
The cluster-sampling method can be used to conduct rapid assessment of health and other needs in communities affected by natural disasters. It is modelled on WHO's Expanded Programme on Immunization method of estimating immunization coverage, but has been modified to provide (1) estimates of the population remaining in an area, and (2) estimates of the number of people in the post-disaster area with specific needs. This approach differs from that used previously in other disasters where rapid needs assessments only estimated the proportion of the population with specific needs. We propose a modified n x k survey design to estimate the remaining population, severity of damage, the proportion and number of people with specific needs, the number of damaged or destroyed and remaining housing units, and the changes in these estimates over a period of time as part of the survey.
整群抽样方法可用于对受自然灾害影响的社区的健康及其他需求进行快速评估。它是仿照世界卫生组织扩大免疫规划中估计免疫覆盖率的方法建立的,但已做了修改,以提供:(1)某地区剩余人口的估计数,以及(2)受灾地区有特定需求的人数估计数。这种方法不同于以往在其他灾害中使用的方法,以往的快速需求评估仅估计有特定需求的人口比例。我们提议采用一种经过修改的n x k调查设计,以估计剩余人口、破坏程度、有特定需求的人口比例和数量、受损或被毁及剩余住房单元的数量,以及作为调查一部分的这些估计数在一段时间内的变化情况。