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行人饮酒情况与受伤后存活几率:来自佛罗里达州执法数据的证据

Alcohol use among pedestrians and the odds of surviving an injury: evidence from Florida law enforcement data.

作者信息

Miles-Doan R

机构信息

Center for the Study of Population, Florida State University, Tallahassee 32306-4063, U.S.A.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 1996 Jan;28(1):23-31. doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(95)00030-5.

Abstract

Alcohol consumption by pedestrians is widely recognized as a factor influencing the risk of being hit by a motor vehicle, but its effect on the likelihood of dying, given that a collision has occurred, is more uncertain. Studies of drivers find that alcohol increases the risk. Unlike previous studies based on clinical data, the present study is population-based and takes into account indicators of crash severity. Using Florida law enforcement data, logistic regression models yielded a four to fivefold increase in the odds ratios associated with alcohol use, depending on the model. Findings from a model investigating the magnitude of the potential bias due to differential investigative behavior indicated bias may account for some but not all of the increase in the odds of dying. Recommendations include improving law enforcement procedures for identifying alcohol impairment and increasing public awareness of the risk involved in mixing heavy drinking and walking.

摘要

行人饮酒被广泛认为是影响被机动车撞到风险的一个因素,但在发生碰撞的情况下,其对死亡可能性的影响则更不确定。对司机的研究发现,酒精会增加风险。与以往基于临床数据的研究不同,本研究以人群为基础,并考虑了碰撞严重程度指标。利用佛罗里达州执法数据,逻辑回归模型得出与饮酒相关的优势比增加了四到五倍,具体取决于模型。一项调查因调查行为差异导致的潜在偏差程度的模型研究结果表明,偏差可能是死亡几率增加的部分而非全部原因。建议包括改进识别酒精影响的执法程序,以及提高公众对酗酒与行走相结合所涉及风险的认识。

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