D'Hoore W, Bouckaert A, Tilquin C
Université de Montréal, Départment d'Administration de la Santé, Equipe de Recherche Opérationnelle en Santé, Montréal, Canada.
J Clin Epidemiol. 1996 Dec;49(12):1429-33. doi: 10.1016/s0895-4356(96)00271-5.
To develop a measure of the burden of comorbid disease from the MED-ECHO data base (Québec), the so-called Charlson index was adapted to International Classification of Disease (ICD-9) codes. The resulting comorbidity index was applied to the study of inpatient death in 33,940 patients with ischemic heart disease. Multiple logistic regression was used to relate inpatient death to its predictors, including gender, principal diagnosis, age, and the comorbidity index. Various transformations of the comorbidity score were performed, and their effect on the predictive accuracy was assessed. The comorbidity index was constantly and strongly associated with death. From a statistical viewpoint, the best results were obtained when the index was transformed into four dummy independent variables (the area under the receiver-operating curve is then 0.87). In a validation analysis performed on 1990-1991 MED-ECHO data (36,012 admissions with ischemic heart disease), the comorbidity index has the same statistical properties. We conclude that the Charlson index may be an efficient approach to risk adjustment from administrative data bases, although it should be tested on other conditions.
为了根据MED-ECHO数据库(魁北克)制定一种合并症负担的衡量方法,将所谓的查尔森指数适配于国际疾病分类(ICD-9)编码。所得的合并症指数应用于对33940例缺血性心脏病患者住院死亡情况的研究。采用多因素逻辑回归分析将住院死亡与其预测因素相关联,这些预测因素包括性别、主要诊断、年龄以及合并症指数。对合并症评分进行了各种转换,并评估了它们对预测准确性的影响。合并症指数始终与死亡密切相关。从统计学角度来看,当该指数转换为四个虚拟自变量时取得了最佳结果(此时受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.87)。在对1990 - 1991年MED-ECHO数据(36012例缺血性心脏病入院病例)进行的验证分析中,合并症指数具有相同的统计学特性。我们得出结论,查尔森指数可能是一种从行政数据库进行风险调整的有效方法,尽管它应在其他情况下进行检验。