Borja-Aburto V H, Loomis D P, Bangdiwala S I, Shy C M, Rascon-Pacheco R A
Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.
Am J Epidemiol. 1997 Feb 1;145(3):258-68. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a009099.
To investigate acute, irreversible effects of exposure to ozone and other air pollutants, the authors examined daily death counts in relation to air pollution levels in Mexico City during 1990-1992. When considered singly in Poisson regression models accounting for periodic effects, the rate ratio for total mortality associated with a 100-ppb increment in 1-hour maximum ozone concentration was 1.024 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.011-1.039). Measures of average ozone concentration were somewhat more strongly related to mortality. The rate ratio was 1.024 (95% CI 0.984-1.062) per 100 ppb for sulfur dioxide and 1.050 (95% CI 1.030-1.067) per 100 micrograms/m3 for total suspended particulates. However, when all three pollutants were considered simultaneously, only total suspended particulates remained associated with mortality, indicating excess mortality of 6% per 100 micrograms/m3 (rate ratio = 1.058, 95% CI 1.033-1.083), consistent with observations in other cities in the United States and Europe. The authors found no independent effect of ozone, but it is difficult to attribute observed effects to a single pollutant in light of the complexity and variability of the mixture to which people are exposed. Nevertheless, particulate matter may be a useful indicator of the risk associated with ambient air pollution.
为了研究暴露于臭氧和其他空气污染物的急性、不可逆影响,作者考察了1990 - 1992年墨西哥城每日死亡人数与空气污染水平之间的关系。在考虑周期性影响的泊松回归模型中单独分析时,1小时最大臭氧浓度每增加100 ppb,总死亡率的率比为1.024(95%置信区间[CI] 1.011 - 1.039)。平均臭氧浓度的测量值与死亡率的相关性略强一些。二氧化硫每100 ppb的率比为1.024(95% CI 0.984 - 1.062),总悬浮颗粒物每100微克/立方米的率比为1.050(95% CI 1.030 - 1.067)。然而,当同时考虑这三种污染物时,只有总悬浮颗粒物仍与死亡率相关,表明每100微克/立方米的超额死亡率为6%(率比 = 1.058,95% CI 1.033 - 1.083),这与美国和欧洲其他城市的观察结果一致。作者未发现臭氧的独立影响,但鉴于人们所接触的混合物的复杂性和变异性,很难将观察到的影响归因于单一污染物。尽管如此,颗粒物可能是与环境空气污染相关风险的一个有用指标。